Daria Saville vs Varvara Lepchenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/02/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida (Mexico) - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
70%57%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (24/33)42% (10/24)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (8/14)33% (6/18)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
58% (14/24)27% (9/33)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (12/18)43% (6/14)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
68% (32/47)38% (16/42)
Return Points Won
62% (26/42)32% (15/47)
Total Points Won
65% (58/89)35% (31/89)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
88% (7/8)29% (2/7)
Return Games Won
71% (5/7)13% (1/8)
Total Games Won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Daria Saville
64.6%
Varvara Lepchenko
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daria Saville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daria Saville's performance.
  • Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varvara Lepchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daria Saville than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daria Saville that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Lepchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Daria Saville - Varvara Lepchenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.75)

    2.65
    (2.02)
    6.9%
    (6.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Saville is ranked WTA: 122. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 124.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Saville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Daria Saville
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Hon P.Zarazua R.2 : 1
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)2 : 0
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.2 : 0
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)2 : 0
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Arango E.Potapova A.2 : 0
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.2 : 0
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Hon P.2 : 0
    2Boulter K.Osorio C. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Li A. (3)Sonmez Z.1 : 2
    4Bucsa C.Stakusic M.2 : 0
    5Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Frech M.0 : 2
    6Arango E. (RET.)Bouzkova M. (4)1 : 1
    7Linette M. (8)Jimenez Kasintseva V.1 : 2
    8Zhang S.Navarro E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Boulter K.2 : 1
    2Sonmez Z.Bucsa C.0 : 2
    3Frech M.Bouzkova M. (4)2 : 1
    4Jimenez Kasintseva V.Zhang S.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bucsa C.0 : 2
    2Frech M.Zhang S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Bucsa C.Frech M.2 : 1