Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 10
- Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 19', Salihu H. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Nascimento F. (Pen),
- 25', 0 - 2, Simon C. ⚽, Nascimento F. (A),
- 45', Janasik P. ↓, Brasido D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Salihu H. ↓, Szur P. ↑,
- 55', Stec J. 🟨,
- 58', Simon C. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
- 58', Stec J. ↓, Stepien K. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Szur P. ⚽, Skrabb S. (A),
- 62', Skrabb S. ↓, Bajdur M. ↑,
- 62', Dadok R. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
- 68', Iwao K. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
- 74', Piekarski A. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
- 74', Cholewiak M. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
- 75', Mrozinski P. 🟨,
- 83', Poczobut B. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
- 90+1', Bajdur M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Barczak N. 🟨,
- 90+5', Korczakowski O. 🟨,
- 90+6', Brasido D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Polonia Warsaw
38.7% | Draw
30.4% | Puszcza Niepołomice
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Warsaw's form might have worsened.Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puszcza Niepołomice's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(1.78) |
4.15 ↑
(3.65) |
3.84 ↓
(4) |
-21.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Polonia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Polonia (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Polonia (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Puszcza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Polonia might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Polonia Warsaw won against Puszcza Niepołomice?
Polonia Warsaw has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Polonia Warsaw?
Puszcza Niepołomice has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice were as follows:
27.02.2025
Polonia Warsaw
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
1:2
Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:39 | 10 | 43 |
| 3 | Grodzisk M | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 44:35 | 9 | 42 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Wieczysta Krakow | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 51:35 | 16 | 40 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:36 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzow | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Legnica | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 43:43 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | LKS Lodz | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36:36 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Polonia Bytom | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 35 |
| 12 | Puszcza | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26:49 | -23 | 20 |
| 17 | Leczna | 25 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 27:46 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Tychy | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
