Jay Clarke vs Shintaro Mochizuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
68
1st serve percentage
56%58%
1st serve points won
70% (31/44)64% (35/55)
2nd serve points won
43% (15/35)30% (12/40)
Break Points Saved
1/56/12
1st return points won
36% (20/55)30% (13/44)
2nd return points won
70% (28/40)57% (20/35)
Break Points Converted
6/124/5
Winners
2341
Unforced errors
2456
Net points won
63% (5/8)71% (24/34)
Service Points Won
58% (46/79)50% (47/94)
Return Points Won
50% (47/94)42% (33/79)
Total Points Won
54% (93/173)46% (80/173)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
69% (9/13)54% (7/13)
Return games won
46% (6/13)31% (4/13)
Total games won
58% (15/26)42% (11/26)

Chances of winning


Jay Clarke
35.4%
Shintaro Mochizuki
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 54.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Clarke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.3)

    1.47
    (1.52)
    5.3%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shintaro Mochizuki will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Clarke is ranked ATP: 184. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 130.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Clarke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mochizuki is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Clarke won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki were as follows:
    27.02.2025 Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki 1:2
    Latest results of Jay Clarke
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)
    3Tirante T. A. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24