Result
1:1
11/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
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 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe |
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+, Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (234/315) | 64% (164/256) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 51% (45/89) | 50% (38/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 20% (4/20) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 65% (13/20) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 34 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', Barcos H. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
- 41', Blazquez M. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Quevedo K. ⚽,
- 43', Quevedo K. 🟨,
- 45+8', Soto B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
- 61', Gonzalez C. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
- 61', Fernandez C. D. N. ↓, Fuentes C. ↑,
- 61', Soto B. ↓, Davila Carvajal M. ↑,
- 65', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
- 74', Cantero A. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
- 74', Pino S. ↓, Javier Parraguez ↑,
- 75', Salinas Flores H. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
- 76', Enrique G. 🟨,
- 79', Enrique G. ↓, Huaman M. ↑,
- 80', Quevedo K. ↓, Lagos R. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Davila Carvajal M. ⚽,
- 90+9', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
- 90+14', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
- 90+14', 🟨,
- 90+14', Zambrano C. 🟨,
- 90+14', Garces R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alianza Lima
60.5% | Draw
23.4% | Deportes Iquique
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Lima's performance.Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Alianza Lima - Deportes Iquique Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.71) |
4.05 ↑
(3.52) |
5.8 ↑
(4.6) |
6.2%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Deportes Iquique?
Users Predictions:
Alianza Lima will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
- Alianza Lima in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Deportes Iquique is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Alianza Lima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Alianza Lima is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Alianza Lima to win the game is with odds 1.58.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Deportes Iquique?
Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Iquique won against Alianza Lima?
Deportes Iquique has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Deportes Iquique were as follows:
04.03.2025
Deportes Iquique
-
Alianza Lima
1:2
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Latest results of Deportes Iquique
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
