Result
0:2
04/03/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA) - Qualification, hard - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (26/42) | 59% (27/46) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 48% (14/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 69% (9/13) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (21/46) | 43% (18/42) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (15/29) | 65% (20/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 60% (6/10) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (34/71) | 54% (40/74) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (34/74) | 52% (37/71) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (68/145) | 53% (77/145) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 60% (6/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 55% (6/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 57% (12/21) |
Chances of winning
Alexis Galarneau 30.7% | Pablo Carreno-Busta 69.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Alexis Galarneau - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.05 ↓ (3.22) |
|
1.35 ↑ (1.32) |
6.6% (6.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexis Galarneau - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Galarneau is ranked ATP: 163. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 112.
- Galarneau is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Carreno Busta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Carreno Busta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexis Galarneau won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Alexis Galarneau has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Alexis Galarneau?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexis Galarneau - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
Latest results of Alexis Galarneau
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Dimitrov G. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Cerundolo J. M. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (26) | |
| 5 | Vacherot V. (24) | Bye | |
| 6 | Borges N. | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Shevchenko A. | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Ruud C. (13) | |
| 9 | Bublik A. (10) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zheng M. (WC) | Kopriva V. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Maestrelli F. (Q) | Hijikata R. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Darderi L. (20) | |
| 13 | Norrie C. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Arnaldi M. | McDonald M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Korda S. | Comesana F. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (6) | |
| 17 | Djokovic N. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Majchrzak K. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Hurkacz H. | Kovacevic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Moutet C. (31) | |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Bye | |
| 22 | Royer V. | Bonzi B. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Marozsan F. | Bautista-Agut R. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Draper J. (14) | |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tabilo A. | Jodar R. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Tseng C. H. (Q) | Baez S. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Lehecka J. (22) | |
| 29 | Humbert U. (32) | Bye | |
| 30 | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | Michelsen A. | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Fearnley J. | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Fritz T. (7) | |
| 33 | Musetti L. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Fucsovics M. | O'Connell C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Schoolkate T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Fils A. (30) | |
| 37 | Rublev A. (17) | Bye | |
| 38 | Bellucci M. | Diallo G. | 0 : 2 |
| 39 | Monfils G. (WC) | Galarneau A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | |
| 41 | Cobolli F. (15) | Bye | |
| 42 | Altmaier D. (RET.) | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 1 |
| 43 | Brooksby J. | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (21) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Damm M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Berrettini M. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Zverev A. (4) | |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Opelka R. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Halys Q. | Walton A. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Tien L. (25) | |
| 53 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Bye | |
| 54 | Svajda Z. (WC) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Navone M. | Giron M. | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Mensik J. (12) | |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Fonseca J. | Collignon R. | 2 : 0 |
| 59 | Bergs Z. | Struff J-L. | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Paul T. (23) | |
| 61 | Etcheverry T. M. (29) | Bye | |
| 62 | Tsitsipas S. | Shapovalov D. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Svrcina D. (Q) | Duckworth J. | 2 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cerundolo J. M. | Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26) | |
| 3 | Vacherot V. (24) | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Shevchenko A. | Ruud C. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Bublik A. (10) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Hijikata R. | Darderi L. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Norrie C. (27) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Korda S. | De Minaur A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Djokovic N. (3) | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Kovacevic A. | Moutet C. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Bonzi B. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bautista-Agut R. | Draper J. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Baez S. | Lehecka J. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Humbert U. (32) | Michelsen A. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Fearnley J. | Fritz T. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Musetti L. (5) | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Prizmic D. (RET.) | Fils A. (30) | 0 : 1 |
| 19 | Rublev A. (17) | Diallo G. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Monfils G. | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Cobolli F. (15) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Brooksby J. | Tiafoe F. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (28) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Berrettini M. | Zverev A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Opelka R. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Walton A. | Tien L. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Svajda Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Giron M. | Mensik J. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (16) | Fonseca J. | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Bergs Z. | Paul T. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Etcheverry T. M. (29) | Shapovalov D. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Svrcina D. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Rinderknech A. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Vacherot V. (24) | Ruud C. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bublik A. (10) | Hijikata R. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Norrie C. (27) | De Minaur A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Djokovic N. (3) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Draper J. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (11) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Michelsen A. | Fritz T. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Fucsovics M. | Fils A. (30) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Diallo G. | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Cobolli F. (15) | Tiafoe F. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Nakashima B. (28) | Zverev A. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (8) | Tien L. (25) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Mensik J. (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Fonseca J. | Paul T. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Shapovalov D. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Ruud C. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hijikata R. | Norrie C. (27) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Djokovic N. (3) | Draper J. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (11) | Michelsen A. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Fils A. (30) | Auger-Aliassime F. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Tiafoe F. (21) | Zverev A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Tien L. (25) | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Fonseca J. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Norrie C. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Draper J. (14) | Medvedev D. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Fils A. (30) | Zverev A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Tien L. (25) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Medvedev D. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (4) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Medvedev D. (11) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |