Samuel Heredia vs Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
16/03/2026 at 13:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
54
1st serve percentage
50%73%
1st serve points won
64% (14/22)80% (28/35)
2nd serve points won
27% (6/22)46% (6/13)
Break Points Saved
7/122/2
1st return points won
20% (7/35)41% (9/22)
2nd return points won
54% (7/13)73% (16/22)
Break Points Converted
0/25/12
Winners
810
Unforced errors
4118
Net points won
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
43% (19/44)70% (33/47)
Return Points Won
30% (14/47)57% (25/44)
Total Points Won
36% (33/91)64% (58/91)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
29% (2/7)100% (7/7)
Return games won
0% (0/7)71% (5/7)
Total games won
14% (2/14)86% (12/14)

Chances of winning


Samuel Heredia
42.3%
Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 59.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samuel Heredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samuel Heredia's performance.
  • Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuel Heredia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Samuel Heredia - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.56)

    1.62
    (1.46)
    7.2%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Heredia is ranked ATP: 759. Rubio Fierros is ranked ATP: 592.
    • In recent matches, Heredia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rubio Fierros is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Rubio Fierros could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Rubio Fierros will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Heredia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samuel Heredia - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros were as follows:
    05.03.2025 Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Samuel Heredia 2:1
    Latest results of Samuel Heredia
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gomez F. A. (1)Martin D.1 : 2
    2Zhukayev B.Mena F.
    3Delaney Ja. (Q)Daniel T.
    4Mayo A. (PR)Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Crawford O. (3)Wiskandt M.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A. (Alt)Smith K.
    7Catry R. (Q)Hayen A. (WC)
    8Ursu V.Martin A. (8)1 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (7)Magadan A. (WC)
    10Mmoh M.Rubio Fierros A. F. (Q)
    11Shah A.Alujas R. (WC)
    12Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (4)
    13Huesler M. (5)Yuzuki T. (Q)
    14Hernandez A.Colson T. (Q)
    15Zink T.Polmans M.
    16Tobon M. (Q)Ficovich J. P.

    1/8-finals
    1Martin D.TBD #2
    2TBD #3Andrade A. (6)
    3Crawford O. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Martin A. (8)
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2