South Melbourne vs Preston Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 18

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
11
Total shots
105
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
11
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 0 - 1, Lauton B. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Anderson A. (Own goal),
  • 90', 2 - 1, Mikkola M. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


South Melbourne
35.6%
Draw
27.2%
Preston Lions
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 25.6% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 25.5% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Preston Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Preston Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Preston Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • South Melbourne - Preston Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.93)
    3.37
    (3.53)
    2.46
    (2.07)
    9.3%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for South Melbourne - Preston Lions?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): South Melbourne will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • South Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, South Melbourne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Melbourne - Preston Lions were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Preston Lions - South Melbourne 2:0
    Latest results of Preston Lions
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Heidelberg Utd64029:7212
    2South Melbourne64027:6112
    3Hume City63219:7211
    4Bentleigh Greens63128:2610
    5Oakleigh Cannons631212:10210
    6Melbourne City U21623112:849
    7Avondale FC630311:749
    8George Cross62316:429
    9Preston Lions641112:487
    10St Albans62134:12-87
    11Dandenong Thunder61146:8-24
    12Altona Magic61146:10-44
    13Dandenong City61326:10-42
    14Green Gully60152:15-131

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation