Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        28/09/2025 at  17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Division Profesional - Round 23
 
                                                - Referee: Balboa M. (Bol)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.83 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 69% | 31% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 19 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (333/385) | 60% (105/174) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.83 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.11 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 19 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 7 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 16 | 4 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 33 | 5 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 14 | 18 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (333/385) | 60% (105/174) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 70% (51/73) | 36% (25/69) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 74% (105/142) | 40% (25/62) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 25% (2/8) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.35 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 23 | 11 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 18 | 14 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 56% (9/16) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 31 | 41 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 9 | 32 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 9 | 2 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.93 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.07 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 10', Magallanes J. 🟨, 
 - 36', Valda D. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 1)
 - 46', Alipaz J. ↓, Lujan P. ↑, 
 - 47', 0 - 1, Caceres A. ⚽, Montano J. (A), 
 - 55', Corrales R. 🟥, 
 - 64', Jara A. ↓, Mejia F. ↑, 
 - 64', Magallanes J. ↓, Cabezas B. ↑, 
 - 68', Montano J. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑, 
 - 75', Valda D. ↓, Abrego J. ↑, 
 - 81', Jose Pinto 🟥, 
 - 81', Castro R. 🟨, 
 - 90+4', Robson 🟨, 
 - 90+6', Caceres A. ↓, Zenteno J. ↑, 
 - 90+8', 1 - 1, Luciano ⚽, Cabezas B. (A), 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Universitario de Vinto  43.3% | Draw  28.6% | Jorge Wilstermann  28.1% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Universitario de Vinto - Jorge Wilstermann Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.18 ↑ (1.82) | 
			   3.25 ↓ (3.58) | 
			   3.27 ↓ (3.87) | 
			   7.3% (8.8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation)).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 1.
 - Both teams are currently in poor form.
 - Wilstermann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  - In this match, Uni de Vinto is a strong favorite.
 - In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.8:0.7).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Jorge Wilstermann?
                    
                    
                        
                            Universitario de Vinto has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Jorge Wilstermann won against Universitario de Vinto?
                    
                    
                        
                             Jorge Wilstermann has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Vinto - Jorge Wilstermann were as follows:
                                                        
                                17.05.2025 
                                Jorge Wilstermann 
                                - 
                                Universitario de Vinto 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                18.12.2024 
                                Universitario de Vinto 
                                - 
                                Jorge Wilstermann 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.09.2024 
                                Jorge Wilstermann 
                                - 
                                Universitario de Vinto 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                23.08.2023 
                                Jorge Wilstermann 
                                - 
                                Universitario de Vinto 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                08.04.2023 
                                Universitario de Vinto 
                                - 
                                Jorge Wilstermann 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Universitario de Vinto                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 | 
| 2 | The Strongest | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 64:39 | 25 | 55 | 
| 3 | Bolivar | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 57:24 | 33 | 49 | 
| 4 | Blooming | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 41:38 | 3 | 37 | 
| 5 | Guabira | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 47:48 | -1 | 34 | 
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 | 
| 7 | GV San Jose | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:40 | -9 | 31 | 
| 8 | Oriente Petrolero | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38:43 | -5 | 30 | 
| 9 | Independiente | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 38:46 | -8 | 30 | 
| 10 | Tomayapo | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:40 | -8 | 29 | 
| 11 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 | 
| 12 | Real Oruro | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 25 | 
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:45 | -17 | 25 | 
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 23 | 
| 15 | Wilstermann | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19:54 | -35 | 12 | 
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 | 
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation