Güemes vs Gimnasia y Tiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
20/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
28
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
711
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Chiozza L. , Gerez M. ,
  • 61', Oyola A. I. , Juarez N. ,
  • 61', Albertengo M. , Alvarez M. ,
  • 69', Veliz D. , Lesman G. ,
  • 70', Chaves I. F. 🟨,
  • 70', Rojas F. , Mendez J. ,
  • 70', Aguirre J. , Heredia F. ,
  • 70', Reynaga R. , Gordillo L. ,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Gordillo L. ,
  • 82', Busse W. , Montoya L. ,
  • 82', Griffa E. , Sala S. G. ,
  • 87', Monserrat N. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Galetto J. , Monti I. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Lesman G. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Güemes
45.1%
Draw
35.1%
Gimnasia y Tiro
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 30.3% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 29.3% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Tiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Tiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Güemes - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.22)
    2.63
    (3.04)
    4.8
    (3.26)
    6.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Güemes - Gimnasia y Tiro?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Güemes (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Güemes (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Güemes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Gimnasia y Tiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Güemes is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Güemes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Güemes
    Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Acassuso33008:269
    2San Miguel32104:137
    3Almirante Brown32103:127
    4Ferro31204:225
    5Deportivo Moron31204:225
    6Colon Santa Fe31203:215
    7Def. de Belgrano31203:215
    8All Boys31113:304
    9CA Mitre31112:204
    10Racing Cordoba31111:3-24
    11Godoy Cruz30302:203
    12Ciudad Bolivar30302:203
    13Deportivo Madryn30212:3-12
    14Los Andes30211:2-12
    15San Telmo30124:7-31
    16Central Norte30120:3-31
    17Chaco For Ever30122:6-41
    18CA Estudiantes30030:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia y Tiro33006:249
    2Nueva Chicago32103:037
    3Gimnasia Jujuy32014:406
    4San Martin T31203:215
    5Tristan Suarez31202:115
    6Chacarita Juniors31115:414
    7Midland31113:214
    8Deportivo Maipu31115:504
    9San Martin S.J31114:404
    10Atl. Rafaela31112:204
    11Atletico Atlanta31111:104
    12Temperley31111:104
    13Club A. Guemes31023:4-13
    14Colegiales31022:4-23
    15Agropecuario31022:4-23
    16Patronato30211:2-12
    17Quilmes30120:2-21
    18Almagro30120:3-31

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation