Melbourne Victory Youth vs Port Melbourne Sharks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/06/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 19

Match Stats

Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
153
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
33
Total shots
153
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
111
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Diaz L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 1, Lazarevski D. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Diaz L. ,

Chances of winning


Melbourne Victory Youth
40%
Draw
24%
Port Melbourne Sharks
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 22.5% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 21.9% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Victory Youth's form might have worsened.
  • Port Melbourne Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Port Melbourne Sharks's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+16%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Victory Youth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Melbourne Sharks than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Melbourne Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Victory Youth - Port Melbourne Sharks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.67)
    3.8
    (4.05)
    2.54
    (3.97)
    9.4%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory Youth - Port Melbourne Sharks?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Victory Youth (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Port Melbourne (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Port Melbourne (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Melbourne Victory Youth will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Victory Youth (votes: 2 - 50%). Port Melbourne (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).
    • Victory Youth has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Port Melbourne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Victory Youth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Victory Youth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Victory Youth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory Youth - Port Melbourne Sharks were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Port Melbourne Sharks - Melbourne Victory Youth 0:3
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          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation