Lithuania vs Poland, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup Lithuania - Poland
Result
0:2
12/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification
  • Referee: Berka O. (Cze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceL'Equipe
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
lithuaniaLithuaniaLRT Plius
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.201.10
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
78% (286/368)80% (316/394)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.201.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.010.70
Total shots
712
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1529
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1321
Passes
78% (286/368)80% (316/394)
Long passes
36% (16/45)45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
65% (62/95)65% (66/102)
Crosses
13% (2/16)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.301.19
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
2113
Tackles
57% (4/7)67% (18/27)
Duels won
4179
Clearances
2833
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.700.01
Goals prevented
-1.300.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Szymanski S. ,
  • 44', Slisz B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 64', 0 - 2, Lewandowski R. , Szymanski S. (A),
  • 66', Golubickas P. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 66', Sirgedas G. , Vorobjovas M. ,
  • 73', Cernych F. , Jankauskas E. ,
  • 77', Wisniewski P. 🟨,
  • 77', Slivka V. 🟨,
  • 79', Girdvainis E. 🟨,
  • 82', Szymanski S. , Swiderski K. ,
  • 83', Wisniewski P. , Ziolkowski J. ,
  • 85', Girdvainis E. , Paulauskas G. ,
  • 85', Slivka V. , Petkevicius N. ,
  • 90', Cash M. , Wszolek P. ,
  • 90', Slisz B. , Kapustka B. ,
  • 90+4', Kaminski J. , Grosicki K. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4wb57r8j

Chances of winning


Lithuania
9.7%
Draw
19.8%
Poland
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.5% 23.6% 62.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lithuania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poland's recent form is better than expected.
  • Lithuania - Poland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.78
    (7)
    4.86
    (4)
    1.38
    (1.5)
    3.3%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lithuania - Poland?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Lithuania will win (votes: 2 - 3.5%). Poland will win (votes: 52 - 91.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Poland: 83.8%98.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Poland will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Poland is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lithuania - Poland were as follows:
    21.03.2025 Poland - Lithuania 1:0
    Latest results of Lithuania
    09.10.2025 Finland - Lithuania 2:1
    07.09.2025 Lithuania - Netherlands 2:3
    04.09.2025 Lithuania - Malta 1:1
    10.06.2025 Denmark - Lithuania 5:0
    07.06.2025 Malta - Lithuania 0:0
    Latest results of Poland
    09.10.2025 Poland - New Zealand 1:0
    07.09.2025 Poland - Finland 3:1
    04.09.2025 Netherlands - Poland 1:1
    10.06.2025 Finland - Poland 2:1
    06.06.2025 Poland - Moldova 2:0
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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