Result
2:1
19/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Premiere, SBT |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', Ian Augusto 🟨,
- 22', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
- 26', Patrik 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Luan Rodrigues ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 1, Andrade K. ⚽,
- 37', Wellisson 🟨,
- 39', Felipe Jonatan 🟨,
- 43', Andrade K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Renato Kayzer 🟨,
- 55', Titi 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Luan Rodrigues ⚽,
- 60', 🟨,
- 62', Luan Rodrigues 🟨,
- 62', Vinicius Silva ↓, Wellington Nunes ↑,
- 63', Ze Welison ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
- 63', Andrade K. ↓, Calebe ↑,
- 63', Renato Kayzer ↓, Wesley C. ↑,
- 73', Jackson ↓, Fernando Ceara ↑,
- 73', Luan Rodrigues ↓, Felipe Jacare ↑,
- 76', Wellisson 🟥,
- 76', 🟨,
- 77', 🟨,
- 80', Pedro Dias ↓, Hebert ↑,
- 82', Iranilson ↓, Uesles ↑,
- 82', Felipe Jonatan ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
Chances of winning
Sousa
18.3% | Draw
26.4% | Fortaleza
55.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sousa - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.03 ↓
(5.65) |
3.43 ↓
(3.9) |
1.65 ↑
(1.5) |
9.7%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sousa - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Sousa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Fortaleza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Fortaleza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Fortaleza have a series of home games.
- In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Sousa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5
How many head-to-head matches has Sousa won against Fortaleza?
Sousa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Sousa?
Fortaleza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sousa - Fortaleza were as follows:
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Vitoria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Sousa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Fluminense-PI | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Itabaiana | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Confianca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Juazeirense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Piaui | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sport Recife | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ferroviario | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | America RN | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 5 | Imperatriz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Retro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | ABC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Jacuipense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 5 | Maranhao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion
