Result
2:3
07/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 22
- Referee: Ivkovic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 10 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/408) | 75% (246/330) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/408) | 75% (246/330) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 31% (15/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (104/139) | 51% (30/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (8/46) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.20 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 5', 1 - 0, Abubakar S. ⚽, Gasic M. (A),
- 8', 1 - 1, Hajdarevic H. (Own goal),
- 24', 1 - 2, Seck D. ⚽, Dragojevic V. (A),
- 37', Simic N. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 3, Seck D. ⚽, Kostic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jovanovic D. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
- 46', Stojanovic D. ↓, Kosiah A. ↑,
- 46', Markocevic D. ↓, Filipovic U. ↑,
- 55', Kostic A. 🟨,
- 58', Pejovic A. ↓, Novakovic M. ↑,
- 60', Kostic A. ↓, Polter S. ↑,
- 61', Ugresic O. ↓, Jankovic D. ↑,
- 65', Milic S. ↓, Stojkovic A. ↑,
- 71', Seck D. 🟨,
- 73', Kostic B. ↓, Natcho B. ↑,
- 74', Mitrovic S. ↓, Djurdjevic V. ↑,
- 83', Hajdarevic H. ↓, Raskovic S. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Gasic M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Radnik Surdulica
25.1% | Draw
27% | Partizan
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radnik Surdulica's performance.Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Partizan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radnik Surdulica that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+16.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Partizan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Radnik Surdulica - Partizan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↓
(5.59) |
3.44 ↓
(4.28) |
1.92 ↑
(1.52) |
8.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Radnik Surdulica - Partizan?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Radnik will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Partizan will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radnik: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.25 - Radnik (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Radnik (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Radnik (3.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Radnik Surdulica will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Radnik (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Partizan is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 11:44. (average 0.6:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 6:24. (average 0.5:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Radnik Surdulica won against Partizan?
Radnik Surdulica has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Partizan won against Radnik Surdulica?
Partizan has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radnik Surdulica - Partizan were as follows:
30.08.2025
Partizan
-
Radnik Surdulica
2:0
12.03.2025
Radnik Surdulica
-
Partizan
0:3
24.02.2024
Radnik Surdulica
-
Partizan
1:2
17.09.2023
Partizan
-
Radnik Surdulica
3:2
17.03.2023
Partizan
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:2
Latest results of Radnik Surdulica
Latest results of Partizan
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 72:19 | 53 | 57 |
| 2 | Partizan ✔ | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 55:30 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Vojvodina ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
| 6 | Radnik | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | TSC | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22:27 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 27:43 | -16 | 28 |
| 13 | Mladost | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 18:34 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Javor | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 27:45 | -18 | 17 |
| 16 | Napredak | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 21:50 | -29 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
