Comoros vs Mali, Africa Cup of Nations – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Mohamed V (Casablanca).

Africa Cup of Nations - Round 3
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Cameroon	Canal 2 International
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol
Comoros	ORTC
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI, RTI 3
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	ERT 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	MATV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mali	ORTM
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV7
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SABC Plus, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.12	0.91
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
5	13
Shots on target
1	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
74% (227/305)	88% (574/655)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.12	0.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.11	0.47
Total shots
5	13
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
3	8
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
3	3
Shots outside the Box
2	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
9	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
8	22
Passes
74% (227/305)	88% (574/655)
Long passes
35% (22/62)	55% (27/49)
Passes in final third
51% (29/57)	72% (120/166)
Crosses
11% (1/9)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.14	0.47
Throw-ins
24	21
Fouls
22	8
Tackles
73% (8/11)	78% (14/18)
Duels won
29	64
Clearances
23	14
Interceptions
10	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.47	0.11
Goals prevented
0.47	0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Toibibou K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Camara M. 🟨,
57', Soilihi A. ↓, Boura I. ↑,
57', Maolida M. ↓, El Fardou Ben ↑,
63', Bissouma Y. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
70', Camara O. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
70', Nene D. ↓, Diarra G. ↑,
72', Youssouf Z. ↓, M'Changama Y. ↑,
72', Bourhane Y. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
79', Boura I. 🟨,
83', Sinayoko L. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
83', Sangare M. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
84', Youssouf B. ↓, Bakari S. ↑,
88', Haidara A. 🟥,
90+1', El Fardou Ben 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ms4acy3k

Chances of winning

Comoros
13.3%

Draw
25.5%

Mali
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.6%

18.7%

74.7%

Comoros - Mali Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.16 ↓ (14.38)	3.71 ↓ (5.06)	1.54 ↑ (1.27)	6% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Comoros - Mali?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Comoros will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Mali will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mali: 65.7% – 97.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Comoros (votes: 1 - 50%). Mali (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1 - Mali (1.95) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Comoros is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Comoros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Mali is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Mali: Dieng A. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Mali: Niakate S. (Injury) Traore H. (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Comoros won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

How many head-to-head matches has Comoros won against Mali?

Comoros has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mali won against Comoros?

Mali has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Comoros - Mali were as follows:

04.09.2025 Mali - Comoros 3:0

20.03.2025 Comoros - Mali 0:3

Latest results of Comoros

26.12.2025 Zambia - Comoros 0:0 ✺

21.12.2025 Morocco - Comoros 2:0 ✺

08.12.2025 Oman - Comoros 2:1 ✺

05.12.2025 Comoros - Saudi Arabia 1:3 ✺

02.12.2025 Morocco - Comoros 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Mali

26.12.2025 Morocco - Mali 1:1 ✺

22.12.2025 Mali - Zambia 1:1 ✺

18.11.2025 Jordan - Mali 0:0 ✺

12.10.2025 Mali - Madagascar 4:1 ✺

08.10.2025 Chad - Mali 0:2 ✺

Draw

Qualification

Final

1	Somalia	Eswatini	2 : 2, 0 : 3
2	Sao Tome and Principe	South Sudan	0 : 0, 1 : 1
3	Chad	Mauritius	2 : 1, 1 : 0
4	Djibouti	Liberia	0 : 0, 0 : 2