Victoria Mboko vs Paula Badosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/03/2025 at 12:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
87
1st Serve Percentage
65%61%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (49/73)72% (42/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (17/39)43% (16/37)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
28% (16/58)34% (25/73)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (21/37)56% (22/39)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
58% (65/112)61% (58/95)
Return Points Won
39% (37/95)42% (47/112)
Total Points Won
49% (102/207)51% (105/207)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Victoria Mboko
33.4%
Paula Badosa
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 72.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8% 74.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Victoria Mboko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victoria Mboko's performance.
  • Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paula Badosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Mboko than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victoria Mboko that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paula Badosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Victoria Mboko - Paula Badosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (3.46)

    1.42
    (1.31)
    5.2%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Victoria Mboko - Paula Badosa?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mboko will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Badosa will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 55.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mboko is ranked WTA: 162. Badosa is ranked WTA: 11.
    • Mboko in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Badosa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mboko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Badosa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Mboko to win the game is with odds 2.64.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paula Badosa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Li A.Birrell K. (Q)
    3McNally C.Masarova R. (Q)
    4ByeWang Xin. (29)
    5Zheng Q. (23)Bye
    6Brady J. (WC)Stephens S. (WC)
    7Ruse G.Ruzic A.
    8ByeKeys M. (15)
    9Svitolina E. (9)Bye
    10Jones E. (WC)Fruhvirtova L. (Q)
    11Baptiste H.Maria T.
    12ByeSamsonova L. (19)
    13Ostapenko J. (25)Bye
    14Yastremska D.Krueger A. (WC)
    15Sun L. (Q)Townsend T. (WC)
    16ByePaolini J. (7)
    17Rybakina E. (3)Bye
    18Tjen J.Putintseva Y.
    19Sierra S.Rakhimova K. (LL)
    20ByeKostyuk M. (27)
    21Jovic I. (18)Bye
    22Badosa P.Sasnovich A. (Q)
    23Bejlek S.Gibson T. (Q)
    24ByeOsaka N. (16)
    25Alexandrova E. (11)Bye
    26Tagger L. (WC)Seidel E. (LL)
    27Golubic V. (Q)Stearns P.
    28ByeCristian J. (34)
    29Fernandez L. (26)Bye
    30Arango E.Selekhmeteva O.
    31Jones F.Williams V. (WC)
    32ByePegula J. (5)
    33Anisimova A. (6)Bye
    34Waltert S.Tomljanovic A.0 : 2
    35Lys E.Starodubtseva Y. (Q)
    36ByeBucsa C. (30)
    37Shnaider D. (20)Bye
    38Valentova T.Volynets K. (Q)
    39Sonmez Z.Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    40ByeBencic B. (12)
    41Noskova L. (14)Bye
    42Zhang S.Cirstea S.0 : 2
    43Galfi D. (Alt)Kalieva E. (Q)
    44ByeMertens E. (21)
    45Sakkari M. (33)Bye
    46Parks A.Kraus S. (Q)
    47Semenistaja D. (LL)Cocciaretto E.
    48ByeGauff C. (4)
    49Andreeva M. (8)Bye
    50Kessler M.Frech M.2 : 1
    51Vidmanova D. (WC)Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    52ByeBouzkova M. (32)
    53Kalinskaya A. (22)Bye
    54Zakharova A. (Q)Bondar A.
    55Kenin S.Blinkova A.1 : 2
    56ByeMboko V. (10)
    57Muchova K. (13)Bye
    58Siniakova K.Osorio C.0 : 2
    59Boulter K.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    60ByeTauson C. (17)
    61Eala A. (31)Bye
    62Siegemund L.Marcinko P.2 : 0
    63Linette M.Gracheva V.2 : 1
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3Wang Xin. (29)
    3Zheng Q. (23)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Keys M. (15)
    5Svitolina E. (9)TBD #10
    6TBD #11Samsonova L. (19)
    7Ostapenko J. (25)TBD #14
    8TBD #15Paolini J. (7)
    9Rybakina E. (3)TBD #18
    10TBD #19Kostyuk M. (27)
    11Jovic I. (18)TBD #22
    12TBD #23Osaka N. (16)
    13Alexandrova E. (11)TBD #26
    14TBD #27Cristian J. (34)
    15Fernandez L. (26)TBD #30
    16TBD #31Pegula J. (5)
    17Anisimova A. (6)Tomljanovic A.
    18TBD #35Bucsa C. (30)
    19Shnaider D. (20)TBD #38
    20Sonmez Z.Bencic B. (12)
    21Noskova L. (14)Cirstea S.
    22TBD #43Mertens E. (21)
    23Sakkari M. (33)TBD #46
    24TBD #47Gauff C. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (8)Kessler M.
    26Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M. (32)
    27Kalinskaya A. (22)TBD #54
    28Blinkova A.Mboko V. (10)
    29Muchova K. (13)Osorio C.
    30Boulter K.Tauson C. (17)
    31Eala A. (31)Siegemund L.
    32Linette M.Swiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2