Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune vs Reilly Opelka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/03/2025 at 15:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
121
Double Faults
54
1st Serve Percentage
64%68%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (45/60)76% (48/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (20/34)67% (20/30)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
24% (15/63)25% (15/60)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (10/30)41% (14/34)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)33% (1/3)
Winners
1741
Unforced Errors
237
Service Points Won
70% (65/93)73% (68/93)
Return Points Won
27% (25/93)30% (28/93)
Total Points Won
48% (90/186)52% (96/186)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
48% (15/31)52% (16/31)

Chances of winning


Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
66.6%
Reilly Opelka
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Reilly Opelka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.33)

    2.82
    (3.18)
    5.4%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Reilly Opelka?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rune will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Opelka will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rune: 39.2%89.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rune is ranked ATP: 12. Opelka is ranked ATP: 114.
    • Rune is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Opelka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Opelka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Rune is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Reilly Opelka
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)2 : 0
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)0 : 2
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Landaluce M.
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.
    6Walton A. (6)Hijikata R. (19)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12Jodar R. (12)Bonzi B. (15)