Karolina Muchova vs Elina Svitolina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/03/2025 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
86
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
53%64%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (31/46)67% (35/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (19/40)55% (16/29)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
33% (17/52)33% (15/46)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (13/29)53% (21/40)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)42% (5/12)
Service Points Won
58% (50/86)63% (51/81)
Return Points Won
37% (30/81)42% (36/86)
Total Points Won
48% (80/167)52% (87/167)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
40% (10/25)60% (15/25)

Chances of winning


Karolina Muchova
51.5%
Elina Svitolina
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Elina Svitolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Karolina Muchova - Elina Svitolina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.73)

    1.95
    (2.1)
    5.3%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Karolina Muchova - Elina Svitolina?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). Svitolina will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Svitolina: 48.9%84.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Muchova is ranked WTA: 14. Svitolina is ranked WTA: 22.
    • Recent matches Muchova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Svitolina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Muchova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Muchova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Latest results of Elina Svitolina
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Li A.Birrell K. (Q)
    3McNally C.Masarova R. (Q)
    4ByeWang Xin. (29)
    5Zheng Q. (23)Bye
    6Brady J. (WC)Stephens S. (WC)
    7Ruse G.Ruzic A.
    8ByeKeys M. (15)
    9Svitolina E. (9)Bye
    10Jones E. (WC)Fruhvirtova L. (Q)
    11Baptiste H.Maria T.
    12ByeSamsonova L. (19)
    13Ostapenko J. (25)Bye
    14Yastremska D.Krueger A. (WC)
    15Sun L. (Q)Townsend T. (WC)
    16ByePaolini J. (7)
    17Rybakina E. (3)Bye
    18Tjen J.Putintseva Y.
    19Sierra S.Rakhimova K. (LL)
    20ByeKostyuk M. (27)
    21Jovic I. (18)Bye
    22Badosa P.Sasnovich A. (Q)
    23Bejlek S.Gibson T. (Q)
    24ByeOsaka N. (16)
    25Alexandrova E. (11)Bye
    26Tagger L. (WC)Seidel E. (LL)
    27Golubic V. (Q)Stearns P.
    28ByeCristian J. (34)
    29Fernandez L. (26)Bye
    30Arango E.Selekhmeteva O.
    31Jones F.Williams V. (WC)
    32ByePegula J. (5)
    33Anisimova A. (6)Bye
    34Waltert S.Tomljanovic A.0 : 2
    35Lys E.Starodubtseva Y. (Q)
    36ByeBucsa C. (30)
    37Shnaider D. (20)Bye
    38Valentova T.Volynets K. (Q)
    39Sonmez Z.Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    40ByeBencic B. (12)
    41Noskova L. (14)Bye
    42Zhang S.Cirstea S.0 : 2
    43Galfi D. (Alt)Kalieva E. (Q)
    44ByeMertens E. (21)
    45Sakkari M. (33)Bye
    46Parks A.Kraus S. (Q)
    47Semenistaja D. (LL)Cocciaretto E.
    48ByeGauff C. (4)
    49Andreeva M. (8)Bye
    50Kessler M.Frech M.2 : 1
    51Vidmanova D. (WC)Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    52ByeBouzkova M. (32)
    53Kalinskaya A. (22)Bye
    54Zakharova A. (Q)Bondar A.
    55Kenin S.Blinkova A.1 : 2
    56ByeMboko V. (10)
    57Muchova K. (13)Bye
    58Siniakova K.Osorio C.0 : 2
    59Boulter K.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    60ByeTauson C. (17)
    61Eala A. (31)Bye
    62Siegemund L.Marcinko P.2 : 0
    63Linette M.Gracheva V.2 : 1
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3Wang Xin. (29)
    3Zheng Q. (23)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Keys M. (15)
    5Svitolina E. (9)TBD #10
    6TBD #11Samsonova L. (19)
    7Ostapenko J. (25)TBD #14
    8TBD #15Paolini J. (7)
    9Rybakina E. (3)TBD #18
    10TBD #19Kostyuk M. (27)
    11Jovic I. (18)TBD #22
    12TBD #23Osaka N. (16)
    13Alexandrova E. (11)TBD #26
    14TBD #27Cristian J. (34)
    15Fernandez L. (26)TBD #30
    16TBD #31Pegula J. (5)
    17Anisimova A. (6)Tomljanovic A.
    18TBD #35Bucsa C. (30)
    19Shnaider D. (20)TBD #38
    20Sonmez Z.Bencic B. (12)
    21Noskova L. (14)Cirstea S.
    22TBD #43Mertens E. (21)
    23Sakkari M. (33)TBD #46
    24TBD #47Gauff C. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (8)Kessler M.
    26Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M. (32)
    27Kalinskaya A. (22)TBD #54
    28Blinkova A.Mboko V. (10)
    29Muchova K. (13)Osorio C.
    30Boulter K.Tauson C. (17)
    31Eala A. (31)Siegemund L.
    32Linette M.Swiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2