Result
2:2
11/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes, Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (344/395) | 79% (257/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (344/395) | 79% (257/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (18/28) | 29% (10/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (105/129) | 67% (51/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/31) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Wanderson ⚽, Romero L. (A),
- 25', Neto Moura 🟨,
- 26', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 30', Jose Aldo 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Nathan Fogaca ⚽,
- 45+1', Gerson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gerson ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 46', Wanderson ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 1, Negueba ⚽,
- 55', Igor Formiga ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
- 61', Alex Muralha 🟨,
- 64', Romero L. ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
- 65', Alesson ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 65', Neto Moura ↓, Yuri Lara ↑,
- 70', Eduardo ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
- 71', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
- 79', Fagner ↓, William ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Kaio Jorge (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', Christian ↓, Kenji ↑,
- 90+5', Yuri Lara 🟥,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
39% | Draw
30.7% | Cruzeiro
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mirassol - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.34) |
3.1 ↓
(3.18) |
3.11 ↑
(2.92) |
5.5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 9.6% – 70.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Mirassol (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Mirassol (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Andre Luis
(Inactive)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Chico
(Injury)
Jonathan Jesus
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Cunha
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Daniel Borges
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Cruzeiro?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Mirassol?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Cruzeiro were as follows:
18.08.2025
Mirassol
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
29.03.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Mirassol
2:1
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Palmeiras | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Remo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Internacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 | Santos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 | Corinthians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
