Result
3:1
25/04/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (300/393) | 74% (272/368) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (300/393) | 74% (272/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (46/93) | 48% (35/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (54/97) | 53% (45/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | -1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Zhu X. ⚽, Yao H. (A),
- 13', Huang Z. ↓, Yongsu Huang ↑,
- 23', 1 - 1, Jiang W. ⚽, Luan Cheng (A),
- 33', Abdusemet E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Abdusemet E. ↓, Memet'tursun Merdan ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Yongsu Huang ⚽, Li Mingjie (A),
- 53', 3 - 1, Yongsu Huang ⚽, Luan Cheng (A),
- 57', Li Ming ↓, Huang Guangliang ↑,
- 57', Liu Ruicheng ↓, Chen Rijin ↑,
- 68', Shi Z. ↓, Li P. ↑,
- 70', Li T. ↓, Zhang Zhihao ↑,
- 71', Chen Rijin 🟨,
- 72', Chen Rijin 🟨,
- 80', Yao H. 🟨,
- 86', Cai M. ↓, Sun Chenxi ↑,
- 90', Jiang W. ↓, Li L. ↑,
- 90', Wang Ziyang ↓, Chen Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shenzhen
58.9% | Draw
24.5% | Guangdong Mingtu
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen's performance.Guangdong Mingtu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangdong Mingtu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-14.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangdong Mingtu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shenzhen - Guangdong Mingtu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(2.05) |
3.78 ↑
(3.1) |
5.57 ↑
(3.25) |
8%
(11.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shenzhen - Guangdong Mingtu?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Shenzhen will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Guangdong Mingtu will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
- Recent performances by Shenzhen have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guangdong Mingtu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Guangdong Mingtu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Shenzhen is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shenzhen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
- Including home match between the teams, Shenzhen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen won against Guangdong Mingtu?
Shenzhen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangdong Mingtu won against Shenzhen?
Guangdong Mingtu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen - Guangdong Mingtu were as follows:
01.06.2025
Shenzhen
-
Guangdong Mingtu
1:1
Latest results of Shenzhen
Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu
Chinese Yi League Table
2026North | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Port B | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan B | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Taian Tiankuang | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Dalian Kewei | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Dalian Yingbo B | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Nantong Haimen | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Lanzhou Longyuan | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Changchun Xidu | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Qingdao Red Lions | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Shanghai Second | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | Beijing Technology | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
South | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guizhou Guiyang | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Xiamen Feilu | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 15:13 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Jiangxi Lushan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Shenzhen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Wenzhou Professional | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns B | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Guangdong Mingtu | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
League Two (Relegation Group: )
