Result
2:1
26/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Alvarez M. ⚽,
- 34', Almada A. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
- 36', 1 - 1, Rinaldi N. ⚽, Guanini M. (A),
- 45', Rinaldi N. ↓, Contin N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Luayza M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 52', Colli K. 🟨,
- 57', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 57', Fernandez N. ↓, Henry N. ↑,
- 70', Contin N. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 1, Beron J. ⚽,
- 76', Birge M. 🟨,
- 77', Montoya W. ↓, Banega T. ↑,
- 78', Beron J. 🟨,
- 85', Rocca J. ↓, Sivetti F. ↑,
- 85', Birge M. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
- 85', Oviedo J. C. ↓, Turletti J. ↑,
- 86', Alvarez M. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
- 86', Molina A. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 87', Banega T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tristán Suárez 47.8% | Draw 32.7% | Gimnasia y Tiro 19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristán Suárez's performance.Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Tiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristán Suárez that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Tiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↓ (2.4) |
2.84 ↑ (2.69) |
4.73 ↑ (3.54) |
7.6% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Tristán Suárez (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Gimnasia y Tiro (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tristán Suárez (votes: 1 - 50%). Gimnasia y Tiro (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Gimnasia y Tiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tristán Suárez has had a series of away games.
- Tristán Suárez might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Tristán Suárez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Tristán Suárez won against Gimnasia y Tiro?
Tristán Suárez has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia y Tiro won against Tristán Suárez?
Gimnasia y Tiro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro were as follows:
02.08.2025
Tristán Suárez
-
Gimnasia y Tiro
1:0
30.03.2025
Gimnasia y Tiro
-
Tristán Suárez
1:1
Latest results of Tristán Suárez
Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Colon Santa Fe | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Andes | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Ciudad Bolivar | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Ferro | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Def. de Belgrano | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | CA Estudiantes | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | All Boys | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4:8 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | San Martin T | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Nueva Chicago | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Atl. Rafaela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Midland | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Temperley | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Patronato | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maipu | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Colegiales | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 | Club A. Guemes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Almagro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation