Ards vs Cliftonville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
28/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Irish Cup - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
421
Shots on target
17
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
421
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
314
Corner Kicks
32
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', Moore A. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Gormley J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Wilson H. , Pettifer A. ,
  • 52', Tipton G. , Roohi D. ,
  • 67', Mccart O. , Hunter R. ,
  • 69', Stewart S. , Glynn M. ,
  • 69', Curran R. , Parsons A. ,
  • 71', Ruddy M. 🟨,
  • 73', 0 - 2, Parsons A. ,
  • 84', Hale R. , Corrigan R. ,
  • 84', Scannell E. , Calderwood K. ,
  • 85', Newell L. , Scannell C. ,
  • 86', 0 - 3, Corrigan R. ,
  • 88', Gormley J. , Madden C. ,

Chances of winning


Ards
11.5%
Draw
19.8%
Cliftonville
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.1% 23.1% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5% 20.5% 51.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ards's form might have worsened.
  • Cliftonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cliftonville's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ards, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (-17.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cliftonville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ards - Cliftonville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.99
    (4.83)
    4.65
    (3.99)
    1.34
    (1.6)
    8.7%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ards won 0.
    • Ards in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Cliftonville is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Cliftonville is certain favorite.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Ards won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 14:44 (average 1:3.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ards won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:20 (average 0.9:2.9).
    Latest results of Ards
    22.03.2025 Ards - Ballyclare Comrades 3:1
    18.03.2025 Institute FC - Ards 2:3
    08.03.2025 Ards - Annagh United 2:0
    01.03.2025 Ards - Loughgall 2:0
    Latest results of Cliftonville
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1LimavadyBye
    2Lisburn RangersDergview5 : 4
    3LinfieldBye
    4ByeBangor FC
    5Carrick RangersBye
    6ByeQueens Univ.
    7ColeraineBye
    8ByeCrusaders
    9ByeLoughgall
    10WakehurstKnockbreda2 : 4
    11BallinamallardBye
    12ByeInstitute
    13CliftonvilleBye
    14ByeDundela
    15GlenavonBye
    16ByeNewington
    17PortadownBye
    18ByeAnnagh
    19DungannonBye
    20ByeArds
    21NewbuildingsMoyola1 : 2
    22ByeH&W Welders
    23Comber RecHanover3 : 1
    24BallymacashWillowbank4 : 0
    25Strabane AthleticRathfriland2 : 1
    26ByeGlentoran
    27ArmaghBye
    28Newry CityDrumaness1 : 2
    29Lisburn DistilleryFinaghy4 : 2
    30ByeWarrenpoint
    31BallymenaBye
    32ByeLarne

    1/16-finals
    1LimavadyLisburn Rangers4 : 1
    2LinfieldBangor FC1 : 0
    3Carrick RangersQueens Univ.5 : 1
    4ColeraineCrusaders4 : 0
    5LoughgallKnockbreda2 : 0
    6BallinamallardInstitute0 : 3
    7CliftonvilleDundela3 : 0
    8GlenavonNewington4 : 2
    9PortadownAnnagh4 : 2
    10DungannonArds3 : 0
    11MoyolaH&W Welders2 : 4
    12Comber RecBallymacash0 : 3
    13Strabane AthleticGlentoran0 : 4
    14ArmaghDrumaness1 : 4
    15Lisburn DistilleryWarrenpoint3 : 4
    16BallymenaLarne1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1LimavadyLinfield1 : 0
    2Carrick RangersColeraine1 : 4
    3LoughgallInstitute2 : 1
    4CliftonvilleGlenavon2 : 1
    5PortadownDungannon1 : 2
    6H&W WeldersBallymacash3 : 0
    7GlentoranDrumaness5 : 0
    8WarrenpointLarne0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1LimavadyColeraine
    2LoughgallCliftonville
    3DungannonH&W Welders
    4GlentoranLarne