Result
0:0
23/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 21
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (420/502) | 72% (232/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (420/502) | 72% (232/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 42% (28/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (83/123) | 44% (24/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Willian Machado 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fabian Balbuena ↓, Wagner Leonardo ↑,
- 46', Edenilson ↓, Freitas dos Santos R. ↑,
- 65', Aylon ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 65', Richardson ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 71', Alex Santana 🟨,
- 74', Freitas dos Santos R. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 75', Olivera C. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 75', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
- 82', Ramos R. 🟨,
- 85', Pedro Raul ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 85', Lourenco ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 89', Braithwaite M. ↓, Jardiel ↑,
- 90+2', Galeano A. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
45% | Draw
30.7% | Ceará
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Grêmio - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.99) |
3.1 ↓
(3.43) |
3.91 ↑
(3.65) |
5.6%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Grêmio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Carlos Vinicius
(Red Card)
Dodi
(Red Card)
Gustavo Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Muscle Injury)
Fernando Miguel
(Inactive)
Fernando Sobral
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Joao Pedro
(Broken ankle)
Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Ceará?
Grêmio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Grêmio?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Ceará were as follows:
05.04.2025
Ceará
-
Grêmio
2:0
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
