Ertis Pavlodar vs Aktobe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
19/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 08:56, 0 - 1, Tsikhotsky D. (G), Komarov V. (A), Astrakhantsev G. (A2)

Chances of winning


Ertis Pavlodar
15.4%
Draw
16.8%
Aktobe
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19% 13.3% 67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8% 12.5% 72.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ertis Pavlodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.91
    (4.75)
    5.39
    (6.75)
    1.34
    (1.33)
    10.1%
    (11.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 0.
    • Ertis has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Aktobe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ertis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ertis has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Aktobe is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 48:95. (average 2.4:4.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ertis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:48. (average 2.8:4.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe were as follows:
    18.12.2025 Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe 3:6
    24.10.2025 Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar 1:0
    07.01.2025 Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe 2:4
    06.01.2025 Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe 3:6
    20.09.2024 Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar 5:4
    Latest results of Ertis Pavlodar
    Latest results of Aktobe
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Nomad Astana (1)Almaty (8)4 : 3
    2Kokshetau (4)Kulager (5)1 : 4
    3Torpedo (2)Beibarys Atyrau (7)4 : 0
    4Karaganda (3)Gornyak Rudny (6)4 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Nomad Astana (1)Kulager (5)
    2Torpedo (2)Karaganda (3)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2