Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Portuguese LPB Sporting Lisbon - Benfica
Result
85:87 OT
19/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LPB - Round 21

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7584
Field Goals Made
3228
Field Goals %
42.7%33.3%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4546
2-Point Field Goals Made
2416
2-Point Field Goals %
53.3%34.8%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3038
3-Point Field Goals Made
812
3-Point Field Goals %
26.7%31.6%
Free Throws Attempted
2325
Free Throws Made
1319
Free Throws %
56.5%76%
Offensive Rebounds
1415
Defensive Rebounds
4331
Total Rebounds
5746
Assists
1219
Blocks
33
Turnovers
2312
Steals
711
Personal Fouls
2221

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
34.9%
Benfica
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 59.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon's form might have worsened.
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.25)

    1.41
    (1.51)
    8.7%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 164.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Benfica?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting won 1.
    • Recent matches Sporting is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Benfica is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Sporting have a series of guest games.
    • Benfica will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sporting won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 1582:1719 (average 79.1:86).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 925:1020 (average 77.1:85).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Benfica were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 81:64
    04.05.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 66:73
    06.04.2024 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 94:70
    25.11.2023 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 91:88
    11.06.2023 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 85:101
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    09.04.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 82:72
    05.04.2025 Galomar - Sporting Lisbon 82:94
    29.03.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Povoa 84:57
    23.03.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 94:73
    Latest results of Benfica
    12.04.2025 Benfica - Povoa 94:77
    09.04.2025 Benfica - Povoa 106:85
    05.04.2025 Galitos Barreiro - Benfica 90:95
    29.03.2025 Benfica - Ovarense 93:59
    22.03.2025 Porto - Benfica 94:84
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1BenficaVitoria2 : 0
    2OliveirenseOvarense1 : 2
    3FC PortoImortal2 : 0
    4Sporting CPGalitos Barreiro2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BenficaOvarense3 : 0
    2FC PortoSporting CP3 : 0

    Final
    1BenficaFC Porto3 : 1