St. George Willawong vs Brisbane City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
13/07/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Queensland - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
16
Shots on target
16
Corner Kicks
33
Total shots
16
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 4)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Barnes M. ,
  • 26', 0 - 2, Barnes M. ,
  • 39', 0 - 3, Bolton K. ,
  • 45', 0 - 4, Bolton K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 72', 1 - 4, Simmons A. ,

Chances of winning


St. George Willawong
22.7%
Draw
22.8%
Brisbane City
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 25.2% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 25.3% 41.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. George Willawong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. George Willawong's form might have worsened.
  • Brisbane City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Willawong than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. George Willawong, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane City than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • St. George Willawong - Brisbane City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.04
    (2.7)
    4.02
    (3.55)
    1.68
    (2.15)
    9.2%
    (11.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League and 10).
    • St. George Willawong has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Brisbane City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Brisbane City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, St. George Willawong has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Brisbane City has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Brisbane City is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. George Willawong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. George Willawong - Brisbane City were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Brisbane City - St. George Willawong 2:1
    Latest results of Brisbane City
    Australian NPL Queensland Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Peninsula532011:5611
    2Gold Coast Knights531116:9710
    3Wynnum Wolves531113:6710
    4Queensland Lions531113:6710
    5Olympic FC522110:918
    6Brisbane City521211:14-37
    7Eastern Suburbs52039:816
    8Moreton City Excelsior42028:716
    9Gold Coast Utd52039:13-46
    10Brisbane Roar U2351047:11-43
    11Rochedale51046:13-73
    12Magic United41033:15-123

          Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League