Samtredia vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2 Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Result
2:0
11/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 22

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Djukic B. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Gvishiani G. , Kapanadze T. (A),
  • 37', Kvelashvili N. 🟨,
  • 40', Mandzhgaladze G. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Chileshe F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Todua G. , Amoako D. ,
  • 46', Kvelashvili N. , Menteshashvili L. ,
  • 64', Dvalishvili S. , Gogatishvili G. ,
  • 64', Molashvili T. , Gogoli D. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Kutalia L. , Mandzhgaladze G. (A),
  • 67', Assaye D. 🟨,
  • 68', Assaye D. , Ninidze N. ,
  • 70', Gvishiani G. , Elbakidze L. ,
  • 70', Kapanadze T. , Tchamba C. ,
  • 83', Lopez B. , Vibliani N. ,
  • 90', Kutalia L. , Samurkasovi D. ,

Chances of winning


Samtredia
49.8%
Draw
26.4%
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 33.5% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 34% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samtredia's performance.
  • Lokomotivi Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samtredia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotivi Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.32)
    3.47
    (2.7)
    3.84
    (3.29)
    9.5%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Samtredia will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Samtredia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Samtredia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Samtredia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi were as follows:
    20.05.2025 Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Samtredia 2:1
    02.04.2025 Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1:1
    Latest results of Samtredia
    31.08.2025 Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia 0:3
    24.08.2025 Samtredia - Rustavi 0:2
    18.08.2025 Samtredia - Iberia 1999 2 4:0
    Latest results of Lokomotivi Tbilisi
    Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spaeri22138139:172247
    2Rustavi22117429:20940
    3Bolnisi22710523:21231
    4Merani Martvili2294927:38-1131
    5Meshakhte Tkibuli22710520:12831
    6Samtredia2268826:24226
    7Loco. Tbilisi22510726:27-125
    8Iberia 1999 22267925:27-225
    9Gonio2259826:30-424
    10Dinamo Tbilisi 222171422:47-2510

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