Result
2:2
03/07/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 14
- Referee: Thordarson T. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (322/403) | 80% (323/405) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (322/403) | 80% (323/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (33/66) | 40% (19/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (60/100) | 66% (84/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 5% (1/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Omarsson O. ⚽, Orrason A. (A),
- 14', Jonsson A. 🟨,
- 16', Yeoman A. ↓, Hallsson G. ↑,
- 37', 0 - 2, Orrason A. ⚽, Valgeirsson V. (A),
- 43', Magnusson H. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 2, Magnusson H. ⚽, Cogic E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 2, Stokke B. ⚽, Saevarsson A. (A),
- 57', Margeirsson V. 🟨,
- 64', Valgeirsson V. 🟨,
- 66', Sigmarsson G. ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,
- 66', Cogic E. ↓, Sigurjonsson O. ↑,
- 67', Valgeirsson V. ↓, Jonsson K. ↑,
- 67', Omarsson O. ↓, Kristinsson K. ↑,
- 74', Steindorsson K. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
- 83', Cogic E. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑,
- 85', Orrason A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Stokke B. ↓, Ragnarsson A. ↑,
- 90+4', Saevarsson A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Afturelding
24.5% | Draw
23.7% | Breiðablik
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Breiðablik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Breiðablik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Afturelding - Breiðablik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.81 ↓
(4.45) |
3.93 ↓
(4.09) |
1.79 ↑
(1.66) |
7.5%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Afturelding - Breiðablik?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Breiðablik will win
(23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In recent matches, Afturelding has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Breiðablik is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Afturelding may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Breiðablik is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Afturelding won against Breiðablik?
Afturelding has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Breiðablik won against Afturelding?
Breiðablik has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Afturelding - Breiðablik were as follows:
05.04.2025
Breiðablik
-
Afturelding
2:0
Latest results of Afturelding
Latest results of Breiðablik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur ✔ | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 52:33 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 40:27 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | Stjarnan ✔ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | Breidablik ✔ | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Fram | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | Vestmannaeyjar | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 8 | Vestri | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | KA Akureyri | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:38 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | KR Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 42:44 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 | Afturelding ✔ | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Akranes ✔ | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Vikingur Reykjavik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Breidablik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
KR Reykjavik is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Afturelding is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Akranes is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
