Result
2:1
06/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 13
Chances of winning
Arucas
39.7% | Draw
28.2% | UD San Fernando
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arucas's performance.UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD San Fernando might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arucas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD San Fernando could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arucas - UD San Fernando Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.68) |
3.26 ↑
(3.18) |
2.86 ↑
(2.4) |
8.9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arucas won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arucas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arucas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Arucas won against UD San Fernando?
Arucas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UD San Fernando won against Arucas?
UD San Fernando has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arucas - UD San Fernando were as follows:
04.04.2025
Arucas
-
UD San Fernando
0:1
Latest results of UD San Fernando
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Paso | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 36:14 | 22 | 49 |
| 2 | Tenerife C | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 44:26 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Panaderia | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 38:20 | 18 | 44 |
| 5 | San Fernando | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 31:18 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Mensajero | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 39:24 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Lanzarote | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 35 |
| 8 | Las Palmas C | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 44:35 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Villa Santa Brigida | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 34 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 32 |
| 12 | Yaiza | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 24:32 | -8 | 25 |
| 13 | Arucas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22:32 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Herbania | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:43 | -14 | 21 |
| 16 | San Bartolome | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 17:41 | -24 | 21 |
| 17 | Telde | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19:51 | -32 | 17 |
| 18 | SD Tenisca | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 20:51 | -31 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
