GVCD San José vs Fluminense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Sudamericana
Soccer Copa Sudamericana GVCD San José - Fluminense
Result
1:0
08/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
GVCD San José - Fluminense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.830.64
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
77% (212/276)84% (363/434)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.830.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.680.05
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
1110
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
1211
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
811
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
77% (212/276)84% (363/434)
Long passes
32% (16/50)51% (30/59)
Passes in final third
53% (41/78)70% (66/94)
Crosses
27% (3/11)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.310.58
Throw-ins
2023
Fouls
1311
Tackles
53% (8/15)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4444
Clearances
2818
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.051.68
Goals prevented
0.050.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Arismendi F. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Lavega J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lavega J. ↓, Renato Augusto ↑,
  • 46', Ribera J. ↓, Galindo S. ↑,
  • 46', Roca F. ↓, Becerra R. ↑,
  • 66', Vasquez F. ↓, Calero D. ↑,
  • 66', Bejarano J. ↓, Villamil S. ↑,
  • 69', Lezcano R. ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Calero D. ⚽,
  • 79', Hercules ↓, Kelwin ↑,
  • 87', Lopez J. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


GVCD San José
39.6%		Draw
26.1%		Fluminense
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 25.4% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1% 25% 46.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • GVCD San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GVCD San José's performance.
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GVCD San José that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    GVCD San José - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.36 ↓
    (3.29)    		 3.63 ↓
    (3.7)    		 2.78 ↑
    (2.04)    		 6%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for GVCD San José - Fluminense?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. GVCD San José (votes: 1 - 50%). Fluminense (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - GVCD San José (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • GVCD San José has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Fluminense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, GVCD San José won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between GVCD San José - Fluminense were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Fluminense - GVCD San José 5:0
    Latest results of GVCD San José
    04.05.2025 Blooming - GVCD San José 5:1 ✺
    29.04.2025 GVCD San José - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2:2
    26.04.2025 GVCD San José - ABB 1:1
    22.04.2025 GVCD San José - Once Caldas 2:3 ✺
    19.04.2025 Always Ready - GVCD San José 2:0
    Latest results of Fluminense
    03.05.2025 Fluminense - Sport Recife 2:1 ✺
    29.04.2025 Fluminense - Aparecidense 1:0
    26.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Fluminense 2:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Unión Española - Fluminense 1:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Fluminense - Vitória Salvador 1:1 ✺
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of GVCD San José - Fluminense?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
    brazilBrazilParamount+
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyComo TV
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
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