Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN 2 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (227/312) | 87% (494/570) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (227/312) | 87% (494/570) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/58) | 62% (46/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (40/80) | 74% (115/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Menti S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 57', 0 - 1, Betfort H. ⚽,
- 66', Mondesir N. ↓, Adames E. ↑,
- 67', Fishlock J. ↓, McCammon A. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Williams R. (Own goal),
- 73', Matsukubo M. ↓, Staude N. ↑,
- 74', Betfort H. ↓, Aline Gomes ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Dahlien M. G. ⚽, Menti S. (A),
- 83', Dahlien M. G. ↓, Crnogorcevic A. ↑,
- 87', Weatherholt D. ↓, Jacobs N. ↑,
- 87', Williams R. ↓, Speck M. ↑,
- 90', Menti S. ↓, Barnes L. ↑,
- 90+1', Koyama S. ↓, MacNab H. ↑,
- 90+9', Barnes L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Seattle Reign
36.7% | Draw
28.4% | North Carolina Courage
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seattle Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)North Carolina Courage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Reign than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Seattle Reign - North Carolina Courage Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.51) |
3.23 ↑
(3.05) |
2.64 ↓
(2.73) |
8.8%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle Reign won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- North Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Seattle Reign won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Seattle Reign won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Seattle Reign won against North Carolina Courage?
Seattle Reign has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina Courage won against Seattle Reign?
North Carolina Courage has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Seattle Reign - North Carolina Courage were as follows:
22.03.2025
North Carolina Courage
-
Seattle Reign
1:2
25.08.2024
Seattle Reign
-
North Carolina Courage
1:0
27.04.2024
North Carolina Courage
-
Seattle Reign
1:0
01.10.2023
Seattle Reign
-
North Carolina Courage
1:1
14.05.2023
North Carolina Courage
-
Seattle Reign
1:0
Latest results of Seattle Reign
Latest results of North Carolina Courage
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W ✔ | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 39:28 | 11 | 43 |
| 3 | Orlando Pride W | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 36 |
| 4 | Gotham W | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 31:18 | 13 | 35 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 6 | Portland Thorns W | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:36 | -4 | 33 |
| 8 | San Diego Wave W | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 26:35 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 24 |
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 20 |
| 14 | Chicago W | 24 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 17 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
