Guarany de Bagé vs Joinville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
12/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 2

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
85
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
67
Corner kicks
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Guarany de Bagé
42.3%
Draw
30.8%
Joinville
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 36.3% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 35.8% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Guarany de Bagé - Joinville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.35)
    3.02
    (2.5)
    3.47
    (3.6)
    7.4%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Guarany de Bagé has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Joinville has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Guarany de Bagé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Guarany de Bagé has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Joinville has had a series of home games.
    • Guarany de Bagé is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Guarany de Bagé won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarany de Bagé - Joinville were as follows:
    27.07.2025 Guarany de Bagé - Joinville 2:1
    19.04.2025 Joinville - Guarany de Bagé 1:0
    Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
    Latest results of Joinville
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM53118:6210
    2Sao Raimundo RR52304:139
    3Manauara42207:348
    4Manaus51224:6-25
    5Monte Roraima50323:6-33
    6GAS40132:6-41


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Araguaina532012:4811
    2Guapore53209:5411
    3Porto Velho521211:567
    4Galvez52127:10-37
    5Independencia51226:515
    6Humaita50052:18-160


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama541010:1913
    2Luverdense52214:6-28
    3Aparecidense52127:617
    4Brasiliense51404:317
    5Primavera AC51225:6-15
    6Inhumas50052:10-80


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goiatuba541010:3713
    2Capital53115:3210
    3Ceilandia52123:307
    4Mixto51314:406
    5Uniao Rondonopolis51135:10-54
    6Operario VG50143:7-41


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguia De Maraba52308:539
    2Trem42207:438
    3Imperatriz41305:326
    4Tuna Luso51316:606
    5Oratorio51045:9-43
    6Tocantinopolis50324:8-43


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Iguatu53206:2411
    2Maracana52215:328
    3Parnahyba52125:507
    4Moto Club41213:305
    5Sampaio Correa40310:1-13
    6IAPE50235:10-52


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ferroviario53118:5310
    2Fluminense-PI52308:449
    3Piaui52129:817
    4AE Altos52124:7-37
    5Atletico-CE50412:4-24
    6Tirol50234:7-32


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ABC53118:5310
    2America RN53115:2310
    3Central SC52216:428
    4Maguary52125:327
    5Sousa52033:5-26
    6Laguna RN50141:9-81


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Serra Branca52309:549
    2Treze PB421111:747
    3Sergipe42117:617
    4Lagarto51139:12-34
    5Retro41126:9-34
    6Decisao41125:8-34


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juazeirense54019:5412
    2CSA531110:4610
    3ASA52125:507
    4CSE52128:9-17
    5Jacuipense51135:9-44
    6Alagoinhas51044:9-53


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Uberlandia54018:4412
    2Ivinhema53117:5210
    3CRAC52124:317
    4Betim52125:507
    5Operario MS50323:6-33
    6Ouvidorense50232:6-42


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto-BA53026:9-39
    2Tombense52214:138
    3Rio Branco ES52217:528
    4Democrata GV42113:217
    5Vitoria ES42027:436
    6Real Noroeste50142:8-61


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa53208:3511
    2Agua Santa53028:449
    3Portuguesa RJ52217:258
    4America RJ51224:11-75
    5Madureira51136:8-24
    6Pouso Alegre51132:7-54


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba52309:549
    2Velo Clube52215:328
    3Sampaio Correa FE52215:508
    4Marica52125:507
    5Noroeste51224:5-15
    6Nova Iguacu50232:7-52


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville53207:3411
    2Cianorte53026:429
    3Cascavel52214:228
    4Santa Catarina52129:727
    5Sao Luiz51225:7-25
    6Guarany de Bage50141:9-81


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau54018:3512
    2Sao Joseense53113:2110
    3Marcilio Dias52213:218
    4Brasil de Pelotas52126:517
    5Azuriz50232:5-32
    6EC Sao Jose50232:7-52

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)