Result
0:2
05/03/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 75% (30/40) | 77% (23/30) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 79% (15/19) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 25% (10/40) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 59% (13/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 60% (3/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 29 | 10 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 57% (4/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (39/62) | 78% (38/49) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 22% (11/49) | 37% (23/62) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (50/111) | 55% (61/111) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 30% (3/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Luka Pavlovic
58.3% | Stefano Napolitano
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.48) |
|
2.25 ↓
(2.53) |
7%
(7.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Pavlovic will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Napolitano will win (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 211. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 422.
- Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
- Napolitano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Pavlovic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pavlovic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Luka Pavlovic won against Stefano Napolitano?
Luka Pavlovic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stefano Napolitano won against Luka Pavlovic?
Stefano Napolitano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano were as follows:
07.04.2025
Luka Pavlovic
-
Stefano Napolitano
2:0
Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Johns G. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bax F. | Pennaforti G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Erhard M. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cuenin S. | Kolar Z. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (4) | Kopp S. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Cecchinato M. | Ouakaa A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Ionel N. D. (Q) | De Krom M. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Pieri S. (Q) | Kym J. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Pavlovic L. (8) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Coulibaly E. | Bouchelaghem C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Napolitano S. (Q) | Denolly C. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Forejtek J. | Mikrut L. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Clarke J. (6) | Hemery C. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Houkes M. | Nijboer R. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Martin A. | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Dalla Valle E. (Q) | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Bax F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Kolar Z. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Kopp S. | Cecchinato M. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | De Krom M. | Kym J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Pavlovic L. (8) | Coulibaly E. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Napolitano S. | Mikrut L. (RET.) (3) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Hemery C. | Nijboer R. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Jianu F. C. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Schwaerzler J. J. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. | Kym J. (RET.) (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Pavlovic L. (8) | Napolitano S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hemery C. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Cecchinato M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Napolitano S. | Gea A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Napolitano S. | 2 : 0 |
