Result
2:1
08/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 21
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.38 | 0.64 |
Ball Possession |
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60% | 40% |
Total shots |
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12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 1 |
Passes |
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86% (391/456) | 75% (231/309) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.38 | 0.64 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.87 | 0.13 |
Total shots |
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12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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19 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
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2 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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14 | 10 |
Passes |
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86% (391/456) | 75% (231/309) |
Long passes |
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61% (25/41) | 42% (22/52) |
Passes in final third |
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75% (79/105) | 46% (36/78) |
Crosses |
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22% (5/23) | 33% (3/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.79 | 0.34 |
Throw-ins |
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31 | 21 |
Fouls |
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10 | 14 |
Tackles |
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91% (10/11) | 81% (17/21) |
Duels won |
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55 | 54 |
Clearances |
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24 | 9 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.13 | 1.87 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.88 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Carlao ⚽, Lucas Rodrigues (A),
- 13', Torres J. ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,
- 32', Juninho ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 45+2', Castrillon N. 🟨,
- 45+4', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Victor Hugo ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Henrique Almeida ⚽, Rafael Tavares (A),
- 53', Alencar 🟨,
- 55', Torres D. 🟨,
- 61', Luan Silva ↓, Vagner ↑,
- 61', Torres D. ↓, Erick Varao ↑,
- 62', Alencar ↓, Albano ↑,
- 78', Edson Lucas ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
- 78', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 78', Carlao ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 82', Vasquez L. 🟨,
- 84', Vasquez L. ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Thayllon ⚽, Lucas Rodrigues (A),
Chances of winning
Ferroviária 50.2% | Draw 29.4% | Amazonas 20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Ferroviária - Amazonas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↓ (2.08) |
3.38 ↑ (3.12) |
4.95 ↑ (3.73) |
1.7% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Amazonas?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Ferroviária is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Erik Nascimento
(Inactive)
Maycon
(Injury)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Amazonas: Akapo C.
(Inactive)
Alyson
(Inactive)
Dener
(Inactive)
Henrique Almeida
(Inactive)
Kiko
(Inactive)
Rafael Vitor
(Yellow Cards)
Thomas Luciano
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Denilson
(Inactive)
Eric Melo
(Inactive)
Gustavo Jundi
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Amazonas: Joao Lopes
(Inactive)
Rafael Tavares
(Inactive)
Ze Gabriel
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Amazonas?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amazonas won against Ferroviária?
Amazonas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Amazonas were as follows:
12.04.2025
Amazonas
-
Ferroviária
0:0
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of Amazonas
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
2 | Coritiba | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 43 |
3 | Chapecoense-SC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
5 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
6 | Remo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 35 |
7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
9 | Cuiaba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
10 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Athletico-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
12 | Avai | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
13 | Ferroviaria | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
14 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
16 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
17 | Amazonas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
18 | Volta Redonda | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14:26 | -12 | 23 |
19 | America MG | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 22 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )