Matsumoto Yamaga vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football YBC Levain Cup Matsumoto Yamaga - Albirex Niigata
Result
0:2
09/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
914
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
49
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Kasai K. ,
  • 27', Saso K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Ogawa D. , Maeda R. ,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Okumura J. ,
  • 64', Danilo Gomes , Wakatsuki Y. ,
  • 74', Okamoto S. , Mori K. ,
  • 74', Ochiai R. , Yamura K. ,
  • 74', Kasai K. , Miguel ,
  • 76', Murakoshi K. , Watanabe N. ,
  • 85', Matsumura G. , Higuchi D. ,
  • 85', Saso K. , Hagiwara S. ,
  • 85', Kokubu R. , Inafuku T. ,
  • 87', Takagi Y. 🟨,
  • 89', Takagi Y. , Otake Y. ,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
16.4%
Draw
26.5%
Albirex Niigata
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.2% 22.6% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7% 20.8% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.63
    (5.4)
    3.47
    (4.1)
    1.64
    (1.54)
    7.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Niigata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Niigata is a favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:11 (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Draw
    Second stage

    Quarter-finals
    1Urawa RedsKawasaki Frontale2 : 3, 1 : 1
    2Yokohama F. MarinosKashiwa Reysol0 : 1, 1 : 4
    3Yokohama FCVissel Kobe0 : 1, 2 : 0
    4Shonan BellmareSanfrecce Hiroshima1 : 4, 3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kawasaki FrontaleKashiwa Reysol
    2Yokohama FCSanfrecce Hiroshima

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2