Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (431/484) | 85% (342/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (431/484) | 85% (342/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (27/51) | 61% (34/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (138/167) | 73% (71/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (9/41) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (22/31) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Alesson ⚽,
- 45+3', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
- 45+4', Neto Moura 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Dodi ↓, Olivera C. ↑,
- 55', Braithwaite M. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 58', Jose Aldo ↓, Shaylon ↑,
- 58', Alesson ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 64', Alysson ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
- 70', Cuellar G. 🟨,
- 71', Negueba ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 72', Neto Moura ↓, Roni ↑,
- 75', Cristaldo F. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 75', Joao Pedro ↓, Gustavo Martins ↑,
- 88', Cristian Renato ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
19.6% | Draw
38.6% | Mirassol
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirassol's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+23.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-15%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirassol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Grêmio - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.18 ↑
(2.32) |
3.34 ↑
(3.1) |
2.97 ↓
(3.37) |
-22.4%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Mirassol will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- Recent performances by Grêmio have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mirassol is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Grêmio might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Alysson
(Ankle Injury)
Fabian Balbuena
(Ankle Injury)
Gustavo Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Guilherme
(Injury)
PH
(Knee Injury)
Roni
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Freitas dos Santos R.
(Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Broken ankle)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Mirassol?
Grêmio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Grêmio?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Mirassol were as follows:
16.04.2025
Mirassol
-
Grêmio
4:1
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 13 | Vasco | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 27 |
| 14 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
