Luleå vs Rögle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
12/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2631
Shooting PCT
7.69% (2/26)16.13% (5/31)
Goalkeeper Saves
2624
Saves PCT
83.87% (26/31)92.31% (24/26)
Penalties
66
PIM
1212
Power-play Goals
02
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/6)33.33% (2/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (4/6)100% (6/6)
Faceoffs Won
2035
Faceoffs %
36.3663.64
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 2)
  • 05:30, 0 - 1, Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (G), Sundsvik A. (A), Zether S. (A2)
  • 08:47, 1 - 1, Allard F. (G),
  • 10:59, 2 - 1, Allard F. (G), Hedqvist I. (A), O'Neill B. (A2)
  • 17:24, Shinnimin B. (2 min),
  • 18:44, 2 - 2, Bengtsson A. (G), Kuhlman K. (A), Sjalin C. (A2)
  • 20:00, Shinnimin B. (2 min),
  • 20:00, Friedman M. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 3)
  • 02:28, 2 - 3, Sjodin L. (G), Sundsvik A. (A),
  • 12:11, Nurmi M. (2 min),
  • 12:11, Dickinson J. (2 min),
  • 12:11, Dickinson J. (2 min),
  • 15:56, de Haan C. (2 min),
  • 15:56, Shinnimin B. (2 min),
  • 17:48, 2 - 4, Johansson F. (G), Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (A), Zether S. (A2)
  • 18:54, Engsund O. (2 min),
  • 19:49, 2 - 5, Nilsson F. (G), Dickinson J. (A), Olofsson F. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • 11:45, Zether S. (2 min),
  • 11:45, Gustafsson E. (2 min),
  • 18:23, Sandin L. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Luleå
45.8%
Draw
24.1%
Rögle
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 22.9% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 25.1% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Rögle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luleå, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Luleå - Rögle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.99)
    3.84
    (4.08)
    3.14
    (3.09)
    6.8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
    What is the prediction for Luleå - Rögle?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Luleå will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luleå (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • Rögle is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 3.
    • Luleå is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Rögle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Luleå has had a series of away games.
    • Luleå will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 40:51. (average 2:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luleå won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 2.5:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luleå - Rögle were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Rögle - Luleå 1:2
    30.10.2025 Rögle - Luleå 6:0
    18.09.2025 Luleå - Rögle 1:2
    20.02.2025 Luleå - Rögle 4:3
    11.01.2025 Rögle - Luleå 2:3
    Latest results of Luleå
    10.03.2026 Linköping - Luleå 1:2
    07.03.2026 Djurgården - Luleå 4:1
    05.03.2026 Leksand - Luleå 3:1
    03.03.2026 Frölunda - Luleå 3:2
    28.02.2026 Luleå - Skellefteå 0:1
    Latest results of Rögle
    10.03.2026 Skellefteå - Rögle 3:5
    07.03.2026 Rögle - Färjestad 2:6
    05.03.2026 Frölunda - Rögle 2:3
    28.02.2026 Rögle - Örebro 2:3
    26.02.2026 Brynäs - Rögle 2:1
    SHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Skelleftea ✔ 51296610179:119105
    2Frolunda ✔ 51294315157:10598
    3Vaxjo ✔ 51256416147:13591
    4Rogle ✔ 51245814149:12190
    5Brynas51198420151:13977
    6Farjestad51206520142:13077
    7Lulea51215421138:13177
    8Malmo51216222142:15077
    9Djurgarden ✔ 51205323134:16173
    10Orebro51174624137:15565
    11Timra51174426126:14563
    12Linkoping51173526116:14662
    13Leksand51162726110:15459
    14HV 71 ✔ 51153627132:16957

          Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          SHL (Play Out: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Skelleftea is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Frolunda is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Vaxjo is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Rogle is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Djurgarden is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HV 71 is SHL (Play Out )