Result
2:5
12/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 26 | 31 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 7.69% (2/26) | 16.13% (5/31) |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 83.87% (26/31) | 92.31% (24/26) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 33.33% (2/6) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (4/6) | 100% (6/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 36.36 | 63.64 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 2)
- 05:30, 0 - 1, Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (G), Sundsvik A. (A), Zether S. (A2)
- 08:47, 1 - 1, Allard F. (G),
- 10:59, 2 - 1, Allard F. (G), Hedqvist I. (A), O'Neill B. (A2)
- 17:24, Shinnimin B. (2 min),
- 18:44, 2 - 2, Bengtsson A. (G), Kuhlman K. (A), Sjalin C. (A2)
- 20:00, Shinnimin B. (2 min),
- 20:00, Friedman M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 3)
- 02:28, 2 - 3, Sjodin L. (G), Sundsvik A. (A),
- 12:11, Nurmi M. (2 min),
- 12:11, Dickinson J. (2 min),
- 12:11, Dickinson J. (2 min),
- 15:56, de Haan C. (2 min),
- 15:56, Shinnimin B. (2 min),
- 17:48, 2 - 4, Johansson F. (G), Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (A), Zether S. (A2)
- 18:54, Engsund O. (2 min),
- 19:49, 2 - 5, Nilsson F. (G), Dickinson J. (A), Olofsson F. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 11:45, Zether S. (2 min),
- 11:45, Gustafsson E. (2 min),
- 18:23, Sandin L. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Luleå 45.8% | Draw 24.1% | Rögle 30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Rögle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luleå, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Luleå - Rögle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↑ (1.99) |
3.84 ↓ (4.08) |
3.14 ↑ (3.09) |
6.8% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Luleå - Rögle?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Luleå will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luleå (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- Rögle is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 3.
- Luleå is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Rögle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Luleå has had a series of away games.
- Luleå will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 40:51. (average 2:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luleå won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 2.5:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Luleå won against Rögle?
Luleå has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rögle won against Luleå?
Rögle has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luleå - Rögle were as follows:
10.01.2026
Rögle
-
Luleå
1:2
30.10.2025
Rögle
-
Luleå
6:0
18.09.2025
Luleå
-
Rögle
1:2
20.02.2025
Luleå
-
Rögle
4:3
11.01.2025
Rögle
-
Luleå
2:3
SHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Skelleftea ✔ | 51 | 29 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 179:119 | 105 |
| 2 | Frolunda ✔ | 51 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 157:105 | 98 |
| 3 | Vaxjo ✔ | 51 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 147:135 | 91 |
| 4 | Rogle ✔ | 51 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 149:121 | 90 |
| 5 | Brynas | 51 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 151:139 | 77 |
| 6 | Farjestad | 51 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 142:130 | 77 |
| 7 | Lulea | 51 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 138:131 | 77 |
| 8 | Malmo | 51 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 142:150 | 77 |
| 9 | Djurgarden ✔ | 51 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 134:161 | 73 |
| 10 | Orebro | 51 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 137:155 | 65 |
| 11 | Timra | 51 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 126:145 | 63 |
| 12 | Linkoping | 51 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 116:146 | 62 |
| 13 | Leksand | 51 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 110:154 | 59 |
| 14 | HV 71 ✔ | 51 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 132:169 | 57 |
Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
SHL (Play Out: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Skelleftea is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Frolunda is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Vaxjo is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Rogle is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Djurgarden is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HV 71 is SHL (Play Out )