Result
3:1
09/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', Oliynyk M. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Sinelnikovs A. ⚽, Sirbu D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Poluhovics A. 🟨,
- 46', Garais P. ↓, Komorovskis K. ↑,
- 51', Kacanovs G. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 1, Korzans R. ⚽,
- 59', Strauss G. 🟨,
- 64', Sula M. ↓, Zarovs N. ↑,
- 67', Sinelnikovs A. ↓, Caune M. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Grazis A. ⚽,
- 77', Sirbu D. ↓, Anohins I. ↑,
- 77', Pavlovskis A. ↓, Visnakovs E. ↑,
- 79', Jansons K. ↓, Zags T. ↑,
- 79', Kirilins A. ↓, Roga R. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Grazis A. ⚽, Anohins I. (A),
- 83', Grazis A. ↓, Libietis K. ↑,
- 85', Oliynyk M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Anohins I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Riga Mariners
62.9% | Draw
18.6% | Mārupe
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Riga Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Mārupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga Mariners than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riga Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Riga Mariners - Mārupe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.4) |
4.87 ↓
(5.15) |
4.89 ↓
(5.15) |
10.4%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: ) and 5).
- Riga Mariners has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mārupe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Riga Mariners is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Riga Mariners will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Riga Mariners won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Riga Mariners won against Mārupe?
Riga Mariners has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mārupe won against Riga Mariners?
Mārupe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Riga Mariners - Mārupe were as follows:
12.04.2025
Mārupe
-
Riga Mariners
1:2
Latest results of Riga Mariners
Latvian 1 Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga Mariners | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 42 |
| 2 | Ogre United | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 53:17 | 36 | 41 |
| 3 | Alberts JDFS | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 41:17 | 24 | 39 |
| 4 | JFK Ventspils | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 37 |
| 5 | RFS 2 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 34:20 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Skanste | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 26 |
| 7 | Marupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 | Leevon PPK | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 24 |
| 9 | FK Smiltene | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 22 |
| 10 | Rezekne | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
| 11 | Tukums 2000 2 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 23:41 | -18 | 13 |
| 12 | Augsdaugavas | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 13 |
| 13 | AFA Olaine | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 22:63 | -41 | 9 |
| 14 | Riga FC 2 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15:35 | -20 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Virsliga
Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )
Nakotnes liga (Relegation)
Relegation
