Atlético de Rafaela vs General San Martín de Formosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
167
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Soloa F. ,
  • 11', 🟨,
  • 23', 🟨,
  • 33', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
58.9%
Draw
28.1%
General San Martín de Formosa
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 28.1% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 26% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.64)
    3.25
    (3.25)
    6.97
    (5.58)
    9.8%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): General San Martín de Formosa will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ))
    • Atlético Rafaela is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • San Martín Formosa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Atlético Rafaela will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa were as follows:
    07.12.2025 General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela 0:1
    26.07.2025 General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela 0:0
    13.06.2025 Atlético de Rafaela - General San Martín de Formosa 1:1
    13.04.2025 General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela 1:1
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig660011:4718
    2Defensores Belgrano VR632111:7411
    39 de Julio Rafaela631211:8310
    4Independiente Chivilcoy63129:6310
    5Chivilcoy63125:5010
    6Sportivo Belgrano61415:327
    7El Linqueno62135:9-47
    8Sportivo Las Parejas61234:7-35
    9Atletico Escobar61146:12-64
    10Gimnasia E.R60154:10-61


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana53117:4310
    2Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    3San Martin Formosa52215:508
    4Boca Unidos52129:817
    5Defensores de Vilelas62139:907
    6Tucuman Central52125:507
    7Sol de America52124:407
    8Sarmiento Resistencia60516:8-25
    9Sarmiento de La Banda50322:5-33


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti632110:7311
    2Biblioteca Atenas53117:3410
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Costa Brava61415:327
    5Huracan Las Heras51312:3-16
    6Argentino MM51312:3-16
    7Deportivo Rincon51226:7-15
    8San Martin Mendoza51221:4-35
    9Fundacion Amigos50234:10-62


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca55007:0715
    2Kimberley62315:419
    3Alvarado62314:319
    4Sol de Mayo52214:228
    5Santamarina61416:427
    6Germinal51313:306
    7Villa Mitre51223:305
    8Circulo Deportivo51042:9-73
    9Guillermo Brown50145:11-61

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