Itabaiana vs Ypiranga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
93
Yellow cards
16
Total shots
229
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
165
Corner kicks
93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Leo Rafael ,
  • 14', 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 2, Nicolas ,
  • 27', Danielzinho 🟨,
  • 33', Ricardo Cerqueira , Isaque ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cleiton , Adilson Junior ,
  • 46', Leilson , Luan Silva ,
  • 61', Leo Rafael , Rian ,
  • 65', Nicolas , Bryam ,
  • 67', Tito , Tarcisio ,
  • 74', Bryam 🟨,
  • 76', Vini Charopem 🟨,
  • 76', Gustavo Crecci , Fabricio Moura ,
  • 76', Renatinho , Pedro Igor ,
  • 80', Renan Gorne , Vini Charopem ,
  • 80', Danielzinho , Felipe Ferreira ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 85', Rodrigo Alves 🟨,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 90+9', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Itabaiana
40.9%
Draw
33.2%
Ypiranga
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 31.4% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 30.8% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Itabaiana - Ypiranga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.14)
    2.75
    (2.96)
    3.52
    (3.67)
    9.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Itabaiana - Ypiranga?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Itabaiana will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ypiranga will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Ypiranga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Itabaiana will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itabaiana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Ypiranga were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Ypiranga - Itabaiana 3:2
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    09.04.2026 Itabaiana - Confiança 0:1
    25.03.2026 Itabaiana - CRB Maceio 0:0
    04.03.2026 Manauara - Itabaiana 3:1
    Latest results of Ypiranga
    06.04.2026 Ypiranga - Figueirense 1:1
    11.03.2026 Athletic Club - Ypiranga 2:0
    25.02.2026 Ypiranga - Ji-Paraná 2:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amazonas54108:1713
    2Paysandu PA532011:5611
    3Brusque53209:6311
    4Maringa FC530213:1219
    5Guarani52307:439
    6Floresta EC42205:328
    7Inter de Limeira52217:618
    8Ypiranga FC42117:437
    9Ituano42117:527
    10SER Caxias52125:507
    11Botafogo PB52037:8-16
    12Barra FC41216:425
    13Ferroviaria51225:7-25
    14Santa Cruz51132:4-24
    15Figueirense41125:8-34
    16Volta Redonda51133:6-34
    17Maranhao41123:7-44
    18Confianca51042:5-33
    19Anapolis51044:9-53
    20Itabaiana50145:12-71

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