Result
0:1
10/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 24
- Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (305/375) | 70% (153/219) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (305/375) | 70% (153/219) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (22/49) | 27% (12/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (71/108) | 53% (47/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Nardelli G. 🟨,
- 25', Medranda M. 🟨,
- 40', Perez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Perea M. ↓, Luzarraga R. ↑,
- 46', Andrade J. ↓, Vera D. ↑,
- 59', Blanco J. (Pen),
- 62', Julio M. ↓, Larotonda C. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Vera D. (Pen),
- 72', Coba K. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
- 72', Nardelli G. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
- 84', Luna D. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 84', Mina A. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,
- 87', Minda T. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
- 90+2', Blanco J. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
- 90+4', Carabali E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Jimenez J. ↓, Cuero Fabian ↑,
Chances of winning
Vinotinto
41.9% | Draw
29.3% | Técnico Universitario
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vinotinto's form might have worsened.Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Técnico Universitario's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+14.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vinotinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Técnico Universitario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(1.79) |
3.18 ↓
(3.47) |
3.27 ↓
(4.31) |
7.4%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Vinotinto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Vinotinto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Técnico Univ is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Técnico Univ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vinotinto could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Técnico Universitario?
Vinotinto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Vinotinto?
Técnico Universitario has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario were as follows:
20.04.2025
Técnico Universitario
-
Vinotinto
1:3
Latest results of Vinotinto
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 53:21 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 50 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Orense | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Libertad | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 40:35 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 26:34 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | Macara | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 34 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24:43 | -19 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 31:48 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
