Sporting Lisbon vs HBC Nantes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Handball EHF Champions League Sporting Lisbon - HBC Nantes
Result
30:32
30/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceEurosport 2
hungaryHungarySport 1
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandEurosport 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
swedenSwedenViaplay

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
61.6%
Draw
10%
HBC Nantes
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 11.1% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 11.2% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.
  • HBC Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HBC Nantes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HBC Nantes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sporting Lisbon - HBC Nantes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.75)
    9.3
    (8.5)
    3.21
    (2.7)
    8.6%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 61.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - HBC Nantes?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nantes will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 32:30.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 27-28. 2nd leg.
    • Sporting is in real good shape (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).
    • Nantes in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games, wins - 5).
    • Recently, Nantes had a set of home games.
    • In this match, Sporting is a favorite.
    • Our prediction is that Sporting will win today's game, with odds 1.5.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 27:28
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - HBC Nantes were as follows:
    23.04.2025 HBC Nantes - Sporting Lisbon 28:27
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    23.04.2025 HBC Nantes - Sporting Lisbon 28:27
    12.04.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 32:35
    05.04.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo 35:24
    29.03.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 34:30
    Latest results of HBC Nantes
    23.04.2025 HBC Nantes - Sporting Lisbon 28:27
    20.04.2025 HBC Nantes - USAM Nimes 36:27
    11.04.2025 Limoges - HBC Nantes 30:38
    06.04.2025 HBC Nantes - Fenix Toulouse 34:29
    02.04.2025 HBC Nantes - Wisła Płock 29:24
    EHF Champions League Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLPts
    1Fuchse Berlin220071:624
    2Sporting220074:674
    3Kielce210175:682
    4Aalborg210160:592
    5Veszprem210158:572
    6Kolstad210158:662
    7Din. Bucuresti200258:640
    8Nantes200259:700


    Group B
    PlWDLPts
    1SC Magdeburg220059:524
    2Wisla Plock220064:604
    3Szeged210169:652
    4Barcelona210158:542
    5PSG210164:642
    6Eurofarm Pelister210152:562
    7RK Zagreb200250:550
    8GOG200263:730

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