Miguel Tobon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
85
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
60%58%
1st serve points won
86% (42/49)78% (35/45)
2nd serve points won
55% (18/33)58% (19/33)
Break Points Saved
3/51/3
1st return points won
22% (10/45)16% (8/49)
2nd return points won
42% (14/33)45% (15/33)
Break Points Converted
2/32/5
Winners
3226
Unforced errors
2923
Net points won
76% (16/21)62% (13/21)
Service Points Won
72% (59/82)69% (54/78)
Return Points Won
31% (24/78)28% (23/82)
Total Points Won
52% (83/160)48% (77/160)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
01
Service games won
86% (12/14)86% (12/14)
Return games won
14% (2/14)14% (2/14)
Total games won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Miguel Tobon
35.7%
Juan Pablo Ficovich
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1% 71.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miguel Tobon's performance.
  • Juan Pablo Ficovich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Ficovich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miguel Tobon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Ficovich than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Ficovich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miguel Tobon - Juan Pablo Ficovich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (3.17)

    1.46
    (1.32)
    6.9%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Miguel Tobon - Juan Pablo Ficovich?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tobon will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ficovich will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tobon is ranked ATP: 563. Ficovich is ranked ATP: 208.
    • Tobon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ficovich is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ficovich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tobon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miguel Tobon - Juan Pablo Ficovich were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Miguel Tobon - Juan Pablo Ficovich 0:2
    Latest results of Miguel Tobon
    Latest results of Juan Pablo Ficovich
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gomez F. A. (1)Martin D.1 : 2
    2Zhukayev B.Mena F.0 : 2
    3Delaney Ja. (Q)Daniel T.0 : 2
    4Mayo A. (PR)Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Crawford O. (3)Wiskandt M.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A. (Alt)Smith K.2 : 1
    7Catry R. (Q)Hayen A. (WC)0 : 2
    8Ursu V.Martin A. (8)1 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (7)Magadan A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Mmoh M.Rubio Fierros A. F. (Q)2 : 0
    11Shah A.Alujas R. (WC)2 : 1
    12Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (4)
    13Huesler M. (5)Yuzuki T. (Q)2 : 1
    14Hernandez A.Colson T. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zink T.Polmans M.2 : 0
    16Tobon M. (Q)Ficovich J. P.2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Martin D.Mena F.
    2Daniel T.Andrade A. (6)
    3Crawford O. (3)Ayeni A.
    4Hayen A.Martin A. (8)
    5Kozlov S. (7)Mmoh M.
    6Shah A.TBD #12
    7Huesler M. (5)Hernandez A.
    8Zink T.Tobon M.

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2