Result
3:0
27/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (325/381) | 86% (351/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (325/381) | 86% (351/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (26/51) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (76/105) | 77% (112/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Lucca Dourado ⚽, Viader D. (A),
- 23', Viader D. 🟨,
- 27', Chavez J. 🟨,
- 28', 2 - 0, Lucca Dourado ⚽, Angking I. (A),
- 42', Mehl T. 🟨,
- 43', McCormick L. 🟨,
- 44', Garcia C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', McManus B. 🟥,
- 62', Jawneh L. ↓, Pepi D. ↑,
- 62', Jordan J. ↓, Mason D. ↑,
- 63', Garcia C. ↓, Brown N. ↑,
- 63', Lucca Dourado ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
- 64', Angking I. ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
- 72', Valentine R. ↓, Calfo A. ↑,
- 82', Mesias A. ↓, Bartman N. ↑,
- 82', Ramos O. ↓, Padilla B. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 0, Brown N. ⚽, Bartman N. (A),
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+5', McCormick L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Forward Madison
57% | Draw
24% | Texoma
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Forward Madison - Texoma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.74) |
3.82 ↑
(3.56) |
4.84 ↑
(4.02) |
8.9%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Forward Madison - Texoma?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Forward Madison will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Texoma will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forward Madison: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Forward Madison (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
- Forward Madison is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Texoma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Forward Madison may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Forward Madison is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Forward Madison won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Texoma?
Forward Madison has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Texoma won against Forward Madison?
Texoma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - Texoma were as follows:
05.07.2025
Texoma
-
Forward Madison
2:0
19.04.2025
Forward Madison
-
Texoma
1:1
Latest results of Forward Madison
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 35:20 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 32:21 | 11 | 42 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | FC Naples | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33:26 | 7 | 41 |
| 5 | Charlotte Independ | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 31 |
| 6 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 29:24 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | AV Alta | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 35:34 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Union Omaha | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Tormenta | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 |
| 10 | Texoma | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 31:46 | -15 | 26 |
| 11 | Forward Madison | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Greenville | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
