Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo).

J2 League - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
17	12
Shots on target
7	4
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
83% (364/440)	86% (464/541)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Total shots
17	12
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
10	8
Corner Kicks
4	3
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
8	11
Passes
83% (364/440)	86% (464/541)
Fouls
9	8
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Doi S. ⚽, Disaro A. S. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Kida R. ⚽, Nakamura R. (A),
25', 3 - 0, Okamoto K. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 1, Yamada H. ⚽, Nagasawa S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yamada H. ↓, Hino S. ↑,
59', Ogawa S. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
59', Sakai N. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
63', Kokubu S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
63', Doi S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
65', Nagasawa S. ↓, Sakaiya K. ↑,
72', Tanaka W. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
72', Disaro A. S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Shinkawa S. ⚽, Kitajima F. (A),
79', Kimoto Y. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
81', Nakamura R. 🟨,
90+3', Kida R. ↓, Kawai A. ↑,
90+6', Heward-Belle T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Montedio Yamagata
36.4%

Draw
29.6%

Sagan Tosu
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.4%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.3%

33.5%

Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.43)	3.1 ↓ (3.26)	2.72 ↓ (2.78)	8.3% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 9).
Recent performances by Montedio Yamagata have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tosu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Montedio Yamagata won against Sagan Tosu?

Montedio Yamagata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Montedio Yamagata?

Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu were as follows:

25.04.2025 Sagan Tosu - Montedio Yamagata 2:1

Latest results of Montedio Yamagata

23.08.2025 Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Iwaki 1:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock 1:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Ventforet Kofu - Montedio Yamagata 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Sagan Tosu

23.08.2025 Sagan Tosu - Mito HollyHock 2:2 ✺

17.08.2025 Sagan Tosu - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Ehime - Sagan Tosu 0:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu 1:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu 1:0 ✺

Japan J2 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mito	38	20	10	8	55:34	21	70
2	V-Varen Nagasaki	38	19	13	6	63:44	19	70
3	Chiba	38	20	9	9	56:34	22	69
4	Tokushima	38	18	11	9	45:24	21	65
5	Iwata	38	19	7	12	59:51	8	64
6	Omiya Ardija ✔	38	18	9	11	60:39	21	63
7	Vegalta Sendai	38	16	14	8	47:36	11	62
8	Sagan Tosu	38	16	10	12	46:43	3	58
9	Iwaki	38	15	11	12	55:44	11	56
10	Montedio Yamagata	38	15	8	15	58:54	4	53
11	Imabari	38	13	14	11	46:46	0	53
12	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	38	16	5	17	50:63	-13	53
13	Kofu	38	11	11	16	37:45	-8	44
14	Blaublitz	38	11	10	17	43:59	-16	43
15	Fujieda MYFC	38	9	12	17	41:50	-9	39
16	Oita Trinita	38	8	14	16	27:44	-17	38
17	Toyama	38	9	10	19	34:49	-15	37
18	Kumamoto	38	9	10	19	41:57	-16	37
19	Renofa Yamaguchi	38	7	15	16	36:47	-11	36
20	Ehime ✔	38	3	13	22	35:71	-36	22

      Promotion ~ J1 League
      Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
      Relegation ~ J3 League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Omiya Ardija is Qualified for J2 League (Promotion )
Ehime is Relegated to J3 League