Result
3:2
17/10/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 World | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Tandazo J. ⚽, Torres J. (A),
- 42', Paico K. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Magallanes P. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Regalado I. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
- 46', Jimenez O. ↓, Marines D. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 2, Sen M. ⚽, Pinto O. (A),
- 55', 2 - 2, Javier Navea ⚽, Zeta H. (A),
- 59', Torres J. ↓, Espinoza P. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 2, Javier Navea (Pen),
- 67', Toledo J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 68', Paico K. ↓, Gonzales S. ↑,
- 68', Tandazo J. ↓, Rios D. ↑,
- 78', Bosmediano J. ↓, Guadalupe Q. ↑,
- 80', Zeta H. 🟨,
- 87', Magallanes P. ↓, Parodi J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Unión Comercio
45.9% | Draw
28.1% | Comerciantes Unidos
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Comercio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Unidos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.35) |
3.34 ↑
(3.26) |
3.55 ↑
(3.06) |
7.3%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Unidos?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Unión Comercio will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Comercio: 17% – 68.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 3.
- Unión Comercio has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Comerciantes Unidos is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Unión Comercio will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24:14 (average 2:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Unión Comercio won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:4 (average 2.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Comercio won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Unión Comercio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Unión Comercio?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
04.05.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Unión Comercio
3:1
18.09.2022
Unión Comercio
-
Comerciantes Unidos
4:0
Latest results of Unión Comercio
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Cusco | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Binacional | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Grau | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Cajamarca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
