Estudiantes de Caseros vs Nueva Chicago – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago
Result
2:0
05/09/2025 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDSports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
97
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Acosta M. , Correa J. (A),
  • 27', Maggi I. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Squie T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez I. , Molinas I. A. ,
  • 52', Correa J. 🟨,
  • 54', Motroni J. 🟨,
  • 54', Molinas I. A. 🟨,
  • 59', Correa J. , Brinone S. ,
  • 66', Squie T. , Rostagno D. ,
  • 66', Quinteros F. , Bernardi B. ,
  • 81', Cortes F. , Martinez A. ,
  • 81', Caceres F. , Acosta E. ,
  • 81', Acosta M. , Benitez A. ,
  • 84', Cortes B. , Nouet F. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 84', Brinone S. 🟨,
  • 85', Rodriguez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Caseros
56.4%
Draw
28.3%
Nueva Chicago
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 30.7% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 30.4% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.
  • Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nueva Chicago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Caseros that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nueva Chicago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.88)
    3.25
    (2.98)
    5.99
    (4.42)
    7.3%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • CA Estudiantes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nueva Chicago's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, CA Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Caseros 2:1
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn301411542:261653
    2Atletico Atlanta301312528:19951
    3San Miguel301112729:25445
    4Gimnasia y Tiro301111827:18944
    5Tristan Suarez291014526:19744
    6San Martin T301111825:25044
    7Patronato301110929:25443
    8Deportivo Maipu291010928:27140
    9Racing Cordoba309111035:38-338
    10Los Andes309101127:26137
    11Colegiales301071319:23-437
    12Quilmes298111029:29035
    13All Boys30714923:25-235
    14Almagro307131024:28-434
    15Ferro297101219:31-1231
    16Club A. Guemes305151025:32-730
    17Arsenal Sarandi29791331:40-930
    18Alvarado295131117:27-1028


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza301511431:151656
    2Gimnasia Jujuy301412432:141854
    3Deportivo Moron301411532:171553
    4Estudiantes Rio Cuarto291311530:181250
    5CA Estudiantes30147933:201349
    6Chacarita Juniors301212635:231248
    7Chaco For Ever301461031:24748
    8Temperley301212625:19648
    9Agropecuario30129937:33445
    10Def. de Belgrano301011926:24241
    11CA Mitre30991225:26-136
    12San Telmo298111025:34-935
    13Nueva Chicago308101225:30-534
    14Central Norte30961523:33-1033
    15Colon Santa Fe29841721:35-1428
    16Almirante Brown295111322:34-1226
    17Defensores Unidos303101717:48-3119
    18Talleres (R.E)30452113:36-2317

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation