Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
12/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
139
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
66
Corner Kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 🟨,
  • 22', 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Salvaggio M. ,
  • 39', 🟨,
  • 45+2', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Borda F. ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Sosa G. ,
  • 90', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
63.6%
Draw
28.3%
El Linqueño
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 27.7% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 24% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • El Linqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Linqueño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - El Linqueño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.51)
    3.26
    (3.3)
    11.4
    (7.8)
    8.5%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - El Linqueño?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 - El Linqueño (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - El Linqueño (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. El Linqueño (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • Gimnasia Chivilcoy is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, El Linqueño has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • El Linqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - El Linqueño were as follows:
    05.10.2025 El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy 1:1
    28.04.2025 El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy 0:0
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana32105:237
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda40222:5-32


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

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