Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/07/2025 at  15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Copa Pacena - Round 6
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.47 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 56% | 44% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (254/297) | 80% (181/227) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.47 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.02 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 2 | 8 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 9 | 18 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 25 | 14 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (254/297) | 80% (181/227) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 67% (41/61) | 58% (18/31) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 75% (54/72) | 65% (65/100) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 13% (2/15) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.85 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 16 | 14 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 14 | 25 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 88% (14/16) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 39 | 36 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 18 | 5 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.55 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.98 | 0.55 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 34', Sanchez A. 🟨, 
 - 37', Mizael Monteiro 🟨, 
 - 39', Vaca O. 🟨, 
 - 43', Arroyo A. 🟨, 
 - 45+6', Gutierrez D. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 2)
 - 46', Sanchez A. ↓, Viviani L. ↑, 
 - 46', Lizarraga J. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑, 
 - 46', Arroyo A. ↓, Rivas J. ↑, 
 - 46', Ballivian R. 🟨, 
 - 46', Ballivian R. 🟨, 
 - 59', Rocabado Concha R. E. ↓, Galindo S. ↑, 
 - 59', Rivas J. ↓, Flores M. ↑, 
 - 63', Gutierrez D. 🟨, 
 - 69', Meza P. 🟥, 
 - 72', Galindo M. ↓, Riascos J. ↑, 
 - 74', 1 - 0, Rea Mendieta G. (Pen), 
 - 76', Vaca O. ↓, Torrico J. ↑, 
 - 76', Terrazas A. ↓, Blanco O. ↑, 
 - 83', Flores M. 🟨, 
 - 84', Galindo S. 🟨, 
 - 89', 1 - 1, Amarilla A. ⚽, Torrico J. (A), 
 - 90+1', Huayhuata I. ↓, Rojas S. ↑, 
 - 90+3', Bejarano A. ↓, Ardaya R. ↑, 
 - 90+4', Sejas C. 🟨, 
 - 90+12', 1 - 2, Fernandez A. (Pen), 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 ABB  36.9% | Draw  25.3% | Aurora  37.7% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        ABB - Aurora Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.48 ↓ (2.96) | 
			   3.62 ↑ (3.44) | 
			   2.43 ↑ (2.14) | 
			   9% (9.7%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
 - Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  - Aurora will hold a modest advantage in this match.
 - In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ABB won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
 - Including home match between the teams, ABB won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has ABB won against Aurora?
                    
                    
                        
                            ABB has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against ABB?
                    
                    
                        
                             Aurora has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between ABB - Aurora were as follows:
                                                        
                                19.07.2025 
                                ABB 
                                - 
                                Aurora 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.04.2025 
                                Aurora 
                                - 
                                ABB 
                                2:1