Result
3:2
15/12/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 30
- Referee: Sandoval H. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.92 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (388/451) | 82% (238/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.92 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (388/451) | 82% (238/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (45/63) | 57% (36/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (108/146) | 70% (61/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.85 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', Quiroga M. 🟨,
- 23', Bharti A. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Blanco O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Blanco O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Bharti A. ↓, Riascos J. ↑,
- 46', Mollinedo I. ↓, Galindo M. ↑,
- 64', Rea Mendieta G. 🟨,
- 68', Fernandez A. ↓, Ballivian R. ↑,
- 68', Terrazas A. ↓, Wesley ↑,
- 70', Condori E. ↓, Cervantes A. ↑,
- 74', Torrico D. 🟨,
- 76', Loza P. ↓, Abastoflor F. ↑,
- 76', Jemio C. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
- 81', Amarilla A. ↓, Huayhuata I. ↑,
- 81', Blanco O. ↓, Rojas S. ↑,
- 88', Sejas C. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Abastoflor F. ⚽, Espinoza B. (A),
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Siles O. ⚽,
- 90+9', 🟨,
- 90+10', 3 - 2, Huayhuata I. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Aurora
72.1% | Draw
15% | ABB
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ABB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-18%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABB than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Aurora - ABB Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.36) |
6.03 ↑
(5.32) |
7.02 ↑
(6.9) |
9.3%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Aurora - ABB?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 8 - 80%). ABB will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aurora: 55.2% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Aurora (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - ABB (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aurora will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Aurora (votes: 3 - 75%). ABB (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- Aurora is Relegated to
- Aurora has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- ABB's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aurora is the clear favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Aurora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against ABB?
Aurora has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ABB won against Aurora?
ABB has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - ABB were as follows:
25.07.2025
ABB
-
Aurora
1:2
19.07.2025
ABB
-
Aurora
2:1
29.04.2025
Aurora
-
ABB
2:1
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 9 |
| 4 | Independiente | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 5 | Blooming | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Nacional Potosi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Aurora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Oriente Petrolero | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Academia del Balompie | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Potosi | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | GV San Jose | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Tomayapo | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:11 | -10 | 2 |
| 16 | Guabira | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
