V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kataller Toyama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League V-Varen Nagasaki - Kataller Toyama
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
02
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
81% (595/732)69% (228/330)
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
138
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
136
Corner Kicks
14
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
167
Passes
81% (595/732)69% (228/330)
Fouls
612

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Fuseya S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kasayanagi T. , Matsumoto T. ,
  • 46', Junio E. , Yamasaki R. ,
  • 56', Saneto Y. , Imase J. ,
  • 63', Matsuoka D. , Nishiya S. ,
  • 63', Furukawa M. , Inoue N. ,
  • 68', Sekiguchi M. , Yoneda S. ,
  • 75', Sueki H. , Ueda K. ,
  • 75', Yoshihira T. , Ito T. ,
  • 76', Egawa Y. , Emerson Deocleciano ,
  • 78', Ueda K. 🟨,
  • 90', Diego Pituca , Kushibiki K. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Matheus Jesus , Yamasaki R. (A),
  • 90+3', Kushibiki K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


V-Varen Nagasaki
69.1%
Draw
19.4%
Kataller Toyama
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67% 20.3% 12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3% 18.8% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • V-Varen Nagasaki - Kataller Toyama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.38)
    4.75
    (4.55)
    8.19
    (7.3)
    6.8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki - Kataller Toyama?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): V-Varen Nagasaki will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).
    • V-Varen Nagasaki has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Kataller Toyama has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, V-Varen Nagasaki is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that V-Varen Nagasaki will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between V-Varen Nagasaki - Kataller Toyama were as follows:
    06.05.2025 Kataller Toyama - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:2
    Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
    Latest results of Kataller Toyama
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito311610547:281958
    2V-Varen Nagasaki311511549:40956
    3Chiba31167843:291455
    4Vegalta Sendai311412539:281154
    5Tokushima31149833:201351
    6Omiya Ardija31148945:311450
    7Sagan Tosu31148939:34550
    8Iwata311461148:42648
    9Imabari311211839:33647
    10Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo311341438:53-1543
    11Kofu311191135:33242
    12Iwaki3110101146:40640
    13Montedio Yamagata311151545:45038
    14Blaublitz311071440:49-937
    15Fujieda MYFC31991337:41-436
    16Kumamoto31971539:49-1034
    17Oita Trinita317121224:36-1233
    18Renofa Yamaguchi314131428:40-1225
    19Toyama31591724:43-1924
    20Ehime313111730:54-2420

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League