Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        30/09/2025 at  16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
 
                                                - Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.69 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 47% | 53% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 79% (284/361) | 83% (359/432) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.69 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.86 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 11 | 14 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 10 | 10 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 79% (284/361) | 83% (359/432) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 54% (34/63) | 36% (21/58) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 64% (75/117) | 66% (75/113) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 15% (2/13) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.65 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 25 | 17 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 10 | 10 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 83% (10/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 52 | 42 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 30 | 29 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 8 | 12 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.57 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.43 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 8', Moyano A. 🟨, 
 - 13', Fernandez R. 🟨, 
 - 39', Dulanto G. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 1)
 - 46', Moyano A. ↓, Robles A. ↑, 
 - 54', 1 - 0, Rojas A. ⚽, Villar E. (A), 
 - 60', Pinto O. ↓, Da Luz M. ↑, 
 - 60', Montenegro D. ↓, Barreto G. ↑, 
 - 60', Gutierrez A. ↓, Cabello C. ↑, 
 - 67', Fernandez R. ↓, Canova J. ↑, 
 - 70', Perez A. 🟥, 
 - 76', 1 - 1, Bazan N. ⚽, Cabello C. (A), 
 - 79', Sanchez A. 🟨, 
 - 83', Rojas J. ↓, Bersano F. ↑, 
 - 85', Toledo J. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑, 
 - 86', Rojas A. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Juan Pablo II College  43.2% | Draw  30.7% | ADT Tarma  26.1% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.18 ↑ (1.7) | 
			   3.07 ↓ (3.5) | 
			   3.58 ↓ (5) | 
			   6.2% (7.4%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            9 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). ADT will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 23.1% – 88.1%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 5).
 - Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
 - ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - Juan Pablo II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
 - There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Agurto F.
(Injury)
Fernandez F.
(Injury)
 - There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V.
(Knee Injury)
 - In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juan Pablo II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo II College won against ADT Tarma?
                    
                    
                        
                            Juan Pablo II College has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Juan Pablo II College?
                    
                    
                        
                             ADT Tarma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma were as follows:
                                                        
                                11.05.2025 
                                ADT Tarma 
                                - 
                                Juan Pablo II College 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Juan Pablo II College                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of ADT Tarma                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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