Result
2:3
08/03/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/389) | 67% (111/165) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 2.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/389) | 67% (111/165) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 43% (24/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (109/149) | 63% (40/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (10/41) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.30 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Juambeltz M. ⚽, Alaniz M. (A),
- 31', Gutierrez A. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Ramirez N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Guivin Tanta J. ↓, Mazzo A. ↑,
- 46', Cabello C. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Bauman J. ⚽,
- 57', Ramirez N. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
- 57', Espinoza A. ↓, Anton P. ↑,
- 59', Narvaez J. 🟨,
- 59', Juambeltz M. 🟨,
- 63', Bauman J. 🟨,
- 63', Fuentes P. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 2, Rojas J. ⚽, Benites Vargas L. E. (A),
- 74', Duran J. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
- 74', Rojas J. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
- 82', Juambeltz M. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
- 82', Peralta M. ↓, Iriarte I. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 3, Fuentes P. ⚽,
- 90+1', Biojo R. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
62.9% | Draw
22.4% | Juan Pablo II College
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADT Tarma that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.54) |
4.09 ↓
(4.17) |
6.33 ↑
(5.5) |
8.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 12).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, ADT is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in ADT: Cedron V.
(Injury)
Rodriguez A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in ADT: Arakaki H.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Juan Pablo II College?
ADT Tarma has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo II College won against ADT Tarma?
Juan Pablo II College has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College were as follows:
30.09.2025
Juan Pablo II College
-
ADT Tarma
1:1
11.05.2025
ADT Tarma
-
Juan Pablo II College
2:2
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Cusco | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Grau | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
